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S-4 ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

VLY

VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORP
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed5d 4h ago SEC0001193125-26-427285
Notable filing: S-4
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor Providence shareholder vote and regulatory approvals from the Federal Reserve, OCC, and Illinois DOB. The fixed exchange ratio means Valley's stock price movement directly affects the deal's value for Providence holders. No material standalone impact on VLY common stock until closing.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
VLY ▲ +6.07% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call +6.07% · α vs SPY +7.25% · entry $13.02 → $13.81
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+2 +6.01% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.07%
call +6.07% · α +7.25%
$13.81
settled 4d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 23d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Valley National Bancorp filed an S-4 registration statement for its acquisition of Providence Financial Corporation, a privately held Illinois bank holding company with ~$1.6B in assets. Providence shareholders will receive $21.47 cash plus 4.3854 Valley shares per Providence share, implying ~$83.30/share value at announcement. The merger is expected to close in early 2027, pending Providence shareholder approval and regulatory clearances.

Key Facts

  • Providence shareholders receive $21.47 cash + 4.3854 Valley shares per Providence share
  • Valley had $66.3B total assets, $51.9B net loans, $54.1B deposits, $7.9B equity at June 30, 2026
  • Providence had ~$1.6B total assets, $1.1B net loans, $1.3B deposits, $194.9M equity at June 30, 2026
  • Merger expected to close in early 2027, termination date August 24, 2027
  • Providence termination fee of $11,115,000 payable to Valley under certain conditions
  • Providence directors holding ~18.9% of shares have voting agreements to support the merger
  • Valley declared $0.11/share quarterly dividend for Q4 2026, payable Jan 4, 2027

Financial Impact

Valley to issue ~13.8M shares and pay ~$67.7M cash for Providence; implied deal value ~$247.7M based on August 21, 2026 prices

dilutiontotal assetsdepositsshare count

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory approvals may be delayed or impose burdensome conditions
  • Providence shareholders may fail to approve the merger
  • Integration risks and potential loss of key Providence personnel
  • Market price of Valley common stock may fluctuate, affecting deal value for Providence holders

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-427285
Document: d107115dexfilingfees.htm0001193125-26-427285
Document: d107115dex992.htm0001193125-26-427285
Document: d107115dex231.htm0001193125-26-427285
Document: 0001193125-26-427285-index-headers.html0001193125-26-427285
Document: 0001193125-26-427285-index.html0001193125-26-427285
Document: 0001193125-26-427285.txt0001193125-26-427285
11 reports for VLY
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate @ T+1 1 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 4 best @ T+1▲ +1.81%Oct 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VLY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.81 $14.06▲ +1.81%▲ +2.33%$14.14 (+2.35%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$13.81 $14.06▲ +1.81%▲ +2.33%$14.14 (+2.35%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.02 $13.81▲ +6.07%▲ +7.25%$14.14 (+8.56%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$12.78 $12.72▼ −0.47%▼ −0.29%$14.14 (+10.60%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.78 $12.72▼ −0.47%▼ −0.29%$14.14 (+10.60%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
425 / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.10 $14.09▼ −0.07%▼ −0.09%$14.14 (+0.25%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$14.45 $14.34▼ −0.76%▼ −0.86%$14.14 (−2.18%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$13.77 $13.37▼ −2.90%▼ −3.69%$14.14 (+2.65%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$12.96 $13.25▲ +2.24%▲ +1.66%$14.14 (+9.07%)
Feb 25, 2026
34w ago
8-K/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.37 $12.61▼ −5.68%▼ −5.20%$14.14 (+5.72%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

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Report published Oct 21, 2026