PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Sep 10, 2026

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed21d 17h ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss for Q2 2026 is the primary negative catalyst, but the August monthly data shows continued strong equity and options trading momentum. Monitor the Q3 2026 earnings report for confirmation of whether the Q2 miss was a one-off or the start of a trend, particularly given the 25% win rate on prior HOOD reports at T+20.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
HOOD ▲ +6.44% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -6.44% · α vs SPY -6.66% · entry $112.57 → $119.82
Next anchor: T+20d in 6d
Latest observation: T+12 +2.97% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Sep 10, 04:05 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+1.56%
call -1.56% · α -2.01%
$114.33
settled 21d ago
T+5d
+6.44%
call -6.44% · α -6.66%
$119.82
settled 15d ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6d
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Robinhood reported August 2026 monthly operating metrics showing strong year-over-year growth in funded customers (+7%), total platform assets (+26% to $384B), and equity trading volumes (+68%), but crypto volumes declined 38% YoY and securities lending revenue fell 32% YoY. The EPS miss of -6.6% vs consensus ($0.48 actual vs $0.51 estimate) for Q2 2026 is a negative signal, though the monthly data is preliminary and unaudited.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.48
est $0.51 · -5.9%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 EPS of $0.48 missed consensus of $0.51 by -6.6%
  • August 2026 funded customers reached 28.6M, up 120K MoM and 1.90M YoY
  • Total platform assets $384B, up 8% MoM and 26% YoY
  • Net deposits $4.0B in August, 14% annualized growth rate
  • Equity trading volumes $335B, up 68% YoY; crypto volumes $17.5B, down 38% YoY
  • Options contracts traded 293M, up 50% YoY but down 10% MoM
  • Event contracts traded 4.7B, up 15x YoY but down 23% MoM
  • Securities lending revenue $36M, down 32% YoY
  • Margin balances $21.5B, up 72% YoY

Financial Impact

Q2 2026 EPS miss of $0.03 (-6.6%) vs consensus; August monthly metrics show mixed trends with strong equity/options growth but crypto and securities lending declines

epsrevenuetrading volumescrypto volumessecurities lending revenue

Risk Factors

  • Crypto trading volumes continue to decline YoY, reducing a key revenue driver
  • Securities lending revenue down 32% YoY, indicating margin pressure in that business
  • Options and event contracts trading volumes declined MoM in August, suggesting potential slowdown
  • EPS miss vs consensus may lead to downward estimate revisions for Q3

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (34 analysts)

Investment Themes

Fintech & Payments

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3359962
30 reports for HOOD
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 6 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +44.42%Jun 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HOOD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$110.45 $124.25▲ +12.49%▲ +10.37%$115.85 (+4.88%)
Sep 10, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$112.57 $119.82▲ +6.44%▲ +6.66%$115.85 (+2.91%)
Sep 10, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$112.57 $119.82▼ −6.44%▼ −6.66%$115.85 (−2.91%)
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$122.11 $114.33▼ −6.37%▼ −5.16%$115.85 (−5.13%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$95.77 $108.54▲ +13.33%▲ +13.72%$115.85 (+20.96%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$99.37 $95.10▼ −4.30%▼ −2.33%$115.85 (+16.58%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$90.34 $94.52▲ +4.63%▲ +2.60%$115.85 (+28.23%)
Jul 19, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$99.28 $94.91▼ −4.40%▼ −3.98%$115.85 (+16.69%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$113.53 $113.45▲ +0.07%▲ +0.93%$115.85 (−2.04%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$113.53 $113.45▼ −0.07%▼ −0.93%$115.85 (+2.04%)
Showing 10 of 30

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Report published Sep 10, 2026