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Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

HOG

HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $1.0M total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The director's $983K open-market buy after a strong earnings beat and raised guidance is a high-conviction signal. Monitor for additional insider buying or a Form 4 filing from other C-suite executives. The CFO's small sale is noise and should not be read as bearish.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
HOG ▲ +7.67% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +7.67% · α vs SPY +7.07% · entry $25.52 → $27.48
Next anchor: T+60d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+55 +18.55% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.21%
call +1.21% · α +0.59%
$25.83
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+8.37%
call +8.37% · α +7.15%
$27.66
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+7.67%
call +7.67% · α +7.07%
$27.48
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
tomorrow

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

A mixed insider cluster at Harley-Davidson shows Director Daniel Nova making a $983K open-market purchase, while CFO Jonathan Root sold $39K in shares. The director's buy is a strong bullish signal, especially following the company's Q2 earnings beat and raised guidance 14 days prior, but the CFO's sale is routine in size and likely liquidity-driven. The net direction is mixed, but the director's purchase dominates by dollar value and is the more informative signal per academic literature.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Total Value
$1.0M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • Director Daniel Nova purchased 40,000 shares for $983K on 2026-07-31
  • CFO Jonathan Root sold 1,554 shares for $39K on 2026-08-03
  • Total cluster value is $1.02M, or ~0.04% of HOG's $2.8B market cap
  • Cluster follows Q2 2026 earnings beat (EPS $0.75 vs $0.64 consensus) and raised guidance on 2026-07-23
  • Director buy is an open-market purchase, not a grant or option exercise

Financial Impact

Director purchase of $983K represents ~0.04% of market cap; CFO sale of $39K is trivial

insider ownershipmarket sentiment

Risk Factors

  • Director buy is a single data point and may not reflect broader insider sentiment
  • CFO sale, though small, could indicate caution on near-term outlook
  • HOG's total revenue declined 6% YoY in Q2 due to HDFS asset sale, which may weigh on sentiment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts
Analyst Consensus
43% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-HOG-1786004534390
14 reports for HOG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +28.77%Mar 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HOG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$26.84awaiting T+60—$29.44 (+9.69%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$28.30awaiting T+60—$29.44 (+4.03%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$27.03awaiting T+60—$29.44 (+8.92%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$27.78awaiting T+60—$29.44 (+5.98%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$25.79awaiting T+60—$29.44 (+14.14%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$25.52awaiting T+60—$29.44 (+15.34%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.52 $27.59▲ +4.03%▼ −0.52%$29.44 (+11.01%)
Jul 7, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$25.36 $24.83▼ −2.09%▼ −4.58%$29.44 (+16.09%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.23 $26.03▲ +7.43%▲ +3.04%$29.44 (+21.50%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$24.14 $28.29▲ +17.18%▲ +16.26%$29.44 (+21.95%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 9m)

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Report published Aug 6, 2026