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S-1 ·Filed Oct 9, 2026

GTBP

GT Biopharma, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed16d 19h ago SEC0001493152-26-046618
IPO registration
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for selling pressure as institutional holders (Bristol, Five Narrow Lane, Rainforest Partners) begin distributing their registered shares. The greenshoe rights represent a potential future capital injection of up to $31.2M (Series M) and additional Series L greenshoe proceeds, but also additional dilution. Watch for Nasdaq compliance maintenance post-reverse split.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
GTBP ▼ -1.62% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +1.62% · α vs SPY +0.12% · entry $6.80 → $6.69
Next anchor: T+20d in 11d
Latest observation: T+7 +74.02% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.41%
call +4.41% · α +4.40%
$6.50
settled 14d ago
T+5d
-1.62%
call +1.62% · α +0.12%
$6.69
settled 10d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 11d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Executive Summary

GT Biopharma filed an S-1 registration statement to register up to 13,502,835 shares of common stock for resale by selling stockholders, consisting of conversion shares from Series M and Series L preferred stock, warrant shares, and dividend shares. The company will not receive any proceeds from the sale of these shares. The filing highlights a going concern qualification, massive potential dilution from outstanding warrants (9,393,734 shares at $8.34 weighted average exercise price vs. $5.96 stock price), and a history of Nasdaq non-compliance that was recently cured via a 1-for-25 reverse stock split.

Key Facts

  • Registers 13,502,835 shares for resale by selling stockholders; company receives no proceeds from share sales.
  • Outstanding warrants for 9,393,734 shares at $8.34 weighted average exercise price vs. $5.96 closing price on Oct 8, 2026.
  • Going concern qualification in the auditor's report for FY2025.
  • 1-for-25 reverse stock split effective Sept 8, 2026 reduced shares from 45,109,497 to 1,804,379.
  • Regained Nasdaq compliance on Sept 22, 2026 after bid price fell below $1.00 for 30+ days.
  • September 2026 private placement raised $7.75M with Series M preferred and warrants; greenshoe rights could add up to $31.2M.
  • May 2025 private placement raised $5.95M with Series L preferred and warrants; greenshoe rights have generated $9.7M additional proceeds.
  • Only 34 stockholders of record as of Oct 9, 2026.

Financial Impact

Up to 13.5M shares registered for resale, representing ~655% dilution relative to 2.06M shares outstanding. Warrant overhang of 9.4M shares at $8.34 avg strike vs $5.96 stock price creates significant potential dilution.

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution from registered resale shares and outstanding warrants/options.
  • Going concern uncertainty — may need additional financing to continue operations.
  • Nasdaq delisting risk if bid price falls below $1.00 again.
  • Clinical-stage biotech with no approved products or revenue.
  • Concentrated ownership by a few institutional holders who may sell large blocks.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1 Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-046618
Exhibit: ex107.htm0001493152-26-046618
Exhibit: ex5-1.htm0001493152-26-046618
Exhibit: ex23-1.htm0001493152-26-046618
Document: 0001493152-26-046618-index-headers.html0001493152-26-046618
Document: 0001493152-26-046618-index.html0001493152-26-046618
Document: 0001493152-26-046618.txt0001493152-26-046618
11 reports for GTBP
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +37.41%May 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GTBP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.41awaiting T+5—$5.19 (+4.06%)
Oct 13, 2026
12d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.21 $5.41▲ +12.88%▲ +13.34%$5.19 (+16.42%)
Oct 9, 2026
16d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.80 $6.69▲ +1.62%▲ +0.12%$5.19 (+23.67%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.80 $6.16▼ −9.41%▼ −10.62%$5.19 (−23.67%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$9.00 $7.16▲ +20.44%▲ +21.26%$5.19 (+42.33%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2524 $8.61▲ +3311.25%▲ +3312.40%$5.19 (+1956.30%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.2960 $0.2886▲ +2.50%▲ +1.13%$5.19 (−1653.41%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4400 $0.4420▼ −0.45%▲ +1.22%$5.19 (−1079.57%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3430 $0.3750▼ −9.33%▼ −6.98%$5.19 (−1413.15%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4130 $0.3890▼ −5.81%▼ −11.14%$5.19 (+1156.68%)
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published Oct 9, 2026