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EFFECT ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

GTBP

GT Biopharma, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed5d 18h ago SEC9999999995-26-003305
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effectiveness opens the door for selling stockholders to immediately resell shares, adding near-term selling pressure. Monitor for any Form 4 filings or prospectus supplements indicating actual sales. The existing going concern and Nasdaq compliance issues compound the bearish outlook.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+1d
GTBP ▲ +2.03% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -2.03% · α vs SPY -3.21% · entry $5.41 → $5.52
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+2 +76.47% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.03%
call -2.03% · α -3.21%
$5.52
settled 4d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 23d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

GT Biopharma's S-1 registration (File No. 333-299408) became effective on October 20, 2026, covering up to 9,723,057 shares of common stock for resale by selling stockholders. The company will not receive any proceeds, and the offering adds dilution overhang on top of existing going concern and Nasdaq compliance risks.

Key Facts

  • S-1 registration effective October 20, 2026 (File No. 333-299408)
  • Covers up to 9,723,057 shares for resale by selling stockholders
  • Company receives no proceeds from the offering
  • Prior S-1 filing noted going concern qualification and Nasdaq non-compliance
  • Outstanding warrants for 57.9M shares at $0.62 weighted average exercise price vs. $0.27 stock price create massive dilution overhang

Financial Impact

Up to 9.7M shares of potential dilution; no proceeds to company

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Immediate selling pressure from stockholder resales
  • Dilution overhang from outstanding warrants (57.9M shares)
  • Nasdaq delisting risk if $1 bid price not regained
  • Going concern qualification indicates financial distress

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-003305
Document: 9999999995-26-003305-index.html9999999995-26-003305
Document: 9999999995-26-003305.txt9999999995-26-003305
11 reports for GTBP
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +37.41%May 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GTBP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.41awaiting T+5—$5.07 (+6.28%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.21 $5.41▲ +12.88%▲ +13.34%$5.07 (+18.36%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.80 $6.69▲ +1.62%▲ +0.12%$5.07 (+25.44%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.80 $6.16▼ −9.41%▼ −10.62%$5.07 (−25.44%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$9.00 $7.16▲ +20.44%▲ +21.26%$5.07 (+43.67%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2524 $8.61▲ +3311.25%▲ +3312.40%$5.07 (+1908.72%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.2960 $0.2886▲ +2.50%▲ +1.13%$5.07 (−1612.84%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4400 $0.4420▼ −0.45%▲ +1.22%$5.07 (−1052.27%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3430 $0.3750▼ −9.33%▼ −6.98%$5.07 (−1378.13%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.4130 $0.3890▼ −5.81%▼ −11.14%$5.07 (+1127.60%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 21, 2026