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S-1 ·Filed Oct 22, 2026

PHXE-P

Phoenix Energy One, LLC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed5d 4h ago SEC0001193125-26-429061
IPO registration
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the pace of note sales and use of proceeds disclosures in subsequent prospectus supplements. The company's ability to service ~$2.5B in debt with volatile commodity prices and a net loss trajectory is the key risk. Watch for any Fortress Credit Agreement covenant waiver needs or further amendments.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
PHXE-P ▲ +2.59% at T+1d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -2.59% · α vs SPY -1.88% · entry $25.10 → $25.75
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.59%
call -2.59% · α -1.88%
$25.75
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Phoenix Energy One, LLC filed an S-1 registration statement for a $500 million continuous offering of 'Phoenix Access Notes,' senior subordinated junior lien notes with ten tranches offering 7.5% to 11.0% interest, monthly interest payments, and maturities of 2 to 11 years. The company, an oil and gas E&P and royalty acquirer, reported revenue of $704.5 million (up 152% YoY) but a net loss of $(34.1) million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, driven by a $177.2 million unrealized derivative loss. The offering is part of a broader capital raise strategy to fund drilling, acquisitions, and working capital, adding to an already highly leveraged capital structure with $2.3 billion in pro forma debt.

Key Financial Metrics

Rev Growth
+152.0%

Key Facts

  • Offering up to $500,000,000 in aggregate principal amount of Senior Subordinated Junior Lien Notes (Phoenix Access Notes) on a continuous basis
  • Ten tranches: 2yr 7.5%, 3yr 8.0%, 5yr 9.0%, 7yr 10.0%, 11yr 11.0% — each available as cash interest or compound interest
  • Net proceeds estimated at $473.4 million, allocated 70% to PhoenixOp drilling, 20% to mineral/working interest acquisitions, 10% to working capital
  • Revenue $704.5M for H1 2026 (up 152% YoY from $279.6M), but net loss of $(34.1)M vs net income of $24.3M a year ago
  • Net loss driven by $177.2M unrealized derivative loss; operating income was $255.4M (up 197% YoY)
  • Pro forma total debt of $2,530.6M as of June 30, 2026, including $525.0M Fortress first-lien debt and $848.5M contractually senior debt
  • Notes are junior secured, subordinated to $848.5M of Senior Debt, and structurally subordinated to $471.4M of Adamantium subsidiary debt
  • Holders have limited put right at 95% of principal, capped at 10% of outstanding per year; no change-of-control put or asset-sale put
  • No established trading market; transfer requires issuer consent; notes not listed on any exchange
  • Company needs to raise ~$669.8M additional capital through end of 2028 to fund development plan

Financial Impact

$500 million debt offering; net proceeds ~$473.4 million; pro forma total debt $2.53 billion

debtdilutioninterest expenseleverage

Risk Factors

  • Revenue growth is strong but net loss widened to $(34.1)M from income of $24.3M, driven by $177.2M unrealized derivative losses
  • Pro forma debt of $2.53B vs equity of $40.7M — extreme leverage; $848.5M of debt ranks senior to these notes
  • Notes are structurally subordinated to $471.4M of Adamantium subsidiary debt; collateral proceeds go to Adamantium loan before noteholders
  • Limited liquidity — no trading market, transfer requires issuer consent, put right capped at 10%/yr at 95% of par
  • Company needs ~$669.8M additional capital through 2028; this offering alone may not be sufficient

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-429061
Document: d194117dex41.htm0001193125-26-429061
7 reports for PHXE-P
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for PHXE-P — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$25.10 $25.75▼ −2.59%▼ −1.88%$25.41 (−1.24%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$25.10 $25.75▼ −2.59%▼ −1.88%$25.41 (−1.24%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
MIXED ★ 5/10
$23.83 $24.03▲ +0.84%▲ +0.63%$25.41 (+6.62%)
Jul 8, 2026
15w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$24.16 $24.18▲ +0.10%▼ −0.74%$25.41 (+5.20%)
Jun 25, 2026
17w ago
S-1/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$24.95 $25.10▲ +0.60%▼ −1.05%$25.41 (+1.84%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
S-1
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$23.99 $24.16▲ +0.70%▲ +0.30%$25.41 (+5.91%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$23.93 $23.99▲ +0.28%▲ +1.01%$25.41 (+6.21%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 48m)

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Report published Oct 22, 2026