6-K ·Filed Sep 1, 2026

GFL

GFL Environmental Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-104147
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The closing of the SECURE acquisition is a transformative event that significantly increases GFL's scale and EBITDA base, but the 75M share issuance and $1B term loan add dilution and leverage. Monitor Q3 2026 guidance update for pro-forma revenue/EBITDA and net leverage trajectory; the oversubscribed term loan and stable credit rating are positive signals for debt markets. The stock may re-rate on execution of synergy targets and deleveraging progress.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
GFL ▲ +2.10% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +2.10% · α vs SPY +0.92% · entry $41.50 → $42.37
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Entry anchored
Sep 1, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+2.63%
call +2.63% · α +2.18%
$42.59
settled 4w ago
T+5d
+1.20%
call +1.20% · α +1.12%
$42.00
settled 23d ago
T+20d
+2.10%
call +2.10% · α +0.92%
$42.37
settled 2d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

GFL Environmental has closed its acquisition of SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp., financed through a combination of revolving credit facility capacity, issuance of 75,126,306 subordinate voting shares, and a new US$1 billion senior secured term loan. The deal significantly expands GFL's scale and is expected to accelerate its multi-year financial targets, with management targeting year-end net leverage in the mid-3s and maintaining a path to investment grade. The filing is a material corporate event that transforms GFL's operational footprint and capital structure, but the substantial share issuance and debt raise introduce dilution and leverage considerations that temper the overall bullish read-through.

Key Facts

  • GFL closed the acquisition of SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp. on September 1, 2026.
  • The transaction was financed via revolving credit facility capacity, issuance of 75,126,306 GFL subordinate voting shares, and a new US$1 billion senior secured term loan.
  • The senior secured term loan matures August 28, 2033, bears interest at SOFR +200 bps (approx. 5.0% after swaps), and was significantly oversubscribed.
  • Over 2,000 SECURE employees are joining GFL, with SECURE management staying on as employees and shareholders.
  • GFL expects to update 2026 guidance to include SECURE when reporting Q3 2026 results.
  • Management targets year-end net leverage in the mid-3s and remains committed to pursuing an investment grade credit rating.
  • SECURE common shares are expected to be delisted from the TSX on or about September 2, 2026.
  • GFL is now the fourth largest diversified environmental services company in North America with over 17,000 employees.

Financial Impact

Acquisition financed with 75,126,306 new shares (dilution to existing holders) and US$1 billion in new term debt; no purchase price disclosed.

dilutiondebtleveragerevenueEBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk from absorbing over 2,000 SECURE employees and operations.
  • Dilution from 75,126,306 new shares issued to finance the deal.
  • Increased leverage from US$1 billion term loan; net leverage target of mid-3s may be challenged if synergies underperform.
  • Forward-looking statements about net leverage and investment grade are aspirational and not guaranteed.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Refuse Systems
Analyst Consensus
72% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 10 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (GFL) — Batch item 10001104659-26-104147
Document: tm2624383d1_6k.htm0001104659-26-104147
Document: 0001104659-26-104147-index-headers.html0001104659-26-104147
Document: 0001104659-26-104147-index.html0001104659-26-104147
Document: 0001104659-26-104147.txt0001104659-26-104147
6-K Filing (GFL) — Batch item 60001104659-26-104147
Document: tm2624383d1_6k.htm0001104659-26-104147
Document: 0001104659-26-104147-index-headers.html0001104659-26-104147
Document: 0001104659-26-104147-index.html0001104659-26-104147
Document: 0001104659-26-104147.txt0001104659-26-104147
12 reports for GFL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +12.57%Jun 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GFL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$41.50 $42.37▲ +2.10%▲ +0.92%$41.91 (+0.99%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$37.48 $41.37▲ +10.38%▲ +10.79%$41.91 (+11.82%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.79 $38.99▲ +5.98%▲ +7.01%$41.91 (+13.92%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$37.78 $38.93▲ +3.04%▲ +2.52%$41.91 (+10.93%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$36.01 $39.13▲ +8.66%▲ +7.50%$41.91 (+16.38%)
May 13, 2026
20w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$37.17 $35.97▼ −3.23%▼ −2.37%$41.91 (+12.75%)
May 1, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$37.71 $34.32▼ −8.99%▼ −14.63%$41.91 (+11.14%)
Apr 23, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$40.36 $36.67▼ −9.14%▼ −13.78%$41.91 (+3.84%)
Apr 13, 2026
24w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$38.95 $36.65▼ −5.91%▼ −13.63%$41.91 (+7.60%)
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.55 $40.11▼ −9.97%▼ −19.85%$41.91 (−5.93%)
Showing 10 of 12

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