DFAN14A ·Filed Jul 1, 2026

FRMI

Fermi Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001213900-26-073999
Proxy fight materials (activist)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The proxy fight is escalating with a clear sale/strategic review demand from a ~35% holder. The key near-term catalyst is the judge's ruling on the 70% threshold (expected July 21-23). If the activist wins, a strategic process could unlock significant value. Traders should monitor court rulings and any settlement announcements. The stock's historical volatility suggests binary outcomes.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
FRMI ▼ -46.60% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -46.60% · α vs SPY -49.47% · entry $8.52 → $4.55
Entry anchored
Jun 30, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-5.40%
call -5.40% · α -5.27%
$8.06
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-13.38%
call -13.38% · α -13.64%
$7.38
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-31.22%
call -31.22% · α -29.04%
$5.86
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-46.60%
call -46.60% · α -49.47%
$4.55
settled 7d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Co-founder and former CEO Toby Neugebauer (beneficial owner of ~35% of FRMI) escalated his proxy fight with a June 30 town hall and investor presentation demanding an independent strategic alternatives process for Project Matador, including a banker-led market test and dual-track sale/standalone evaluation. He plans to extend the special meeting vote until after a judge rules on the legality of the board's 70% vote threshold, which he argues is an entrenchment device. The filing amplifies the existing proxy contest (cross-filing context: PREC14A filings from May 2026) and signals a high-conviction push for a sale or strategic partnership.

Key Facts

  • Neugebauer beneficially owns 146,516,035 shares of FRMI common stock (~35% of outstanding).
  • Demands an independent committee, banker-led market test, and dual-track process for Project Matador (11+ GW AI power/data center campus).
  • Claims the board refused to run a strategic review and raised the vote threshold to add directors from 50% to 70% to entrench itself.
  • Plans to extend the proxy vote until after a judge rules on the 70% threshold legality (expected July 21/23).
  • Neugebauer states he has not sold any shares since the IPO lockup expired and is not seeking the CEO role.
  • Company terminated Neugebauer for cause in April 2026; he disputes the allegations and says they will be revealed in court.

Financial Impact

Potential value unlock from a sale or strategic partnership of Project Matador; activist presentation illustrates illustrative annual EBITDA per GW of $990M (data center developer) to $5.6B (hyperscaler), but no actual deal values or financials are provided in the filing.

enterprise valueshare pricedilution risk

Risk Factors

  • Activist may lose the proxy fight if the 70% threshold is upheld, limiting board change.
  • Prolonged litigation could delay tenant contracts and erode asset value.
  • Neugebauer's credibility is damaged by his termination for cause and the stock's 82% decline under his leadership.
  • Historical calibration on FRMI shows only ~35% of prior score-7 bullish calls had positive T+20 returns, indicating execution risk.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
81% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DFAN14A Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-073999
Document: 0001213900-26-073999-index-headers.html0001213900-26-073999
Document: 0001213900-26-073999-index.html0001213900-26-073999
Document: 0001213900-26-073999.txt0001213900-26-073999
48 reports for FRMI
Performance horizon
79% Hit rate 30 of 38 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +56.25%May 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FRMI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.93 $6.60▼ −11.30%▼ −7.68%$4.16 (+29.76%)
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.31 $5.88▲ +6.81%▲ +10.00%$4.16 (+33.99%)
Jul 9, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.59 $6.18▲ +6.22%▲ +8.65%$4.16 (+36.80%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
DFAN14A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.36 $6.19▲ +15.90%▲ +19.17%$4.16 (+43.41%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
DFAN14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.38 $6.03▲ +18.29%▲ +19.62%$4.16 (+43.56%)
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
DFAN14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.52 $5.86▼ −31.22%▼ −29.04%$4.16 (−51.12%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
DFAN14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.52 $5.86▼ −31.22%▼ −29.04%$4.16 (−51.12%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
DFAN14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.16 $7.23▼ −21.07%▼ −20.04%$4.16 (−54.53%)
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
DFAN14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.16 $7.23▼ −21.07%▼ −20.04%$4.16 (−54.53%)
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
DFAN14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.45 $7.40▼ −21.69%▼ −21.41%$4.16 (−55.93%)
Showing 10 of 48

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