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8-K ·Filed Oct 14, 2026

FRMI

Fermi Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed13d 8h ago SEC0001213900-26-109227
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Watch for project financing announcements and construction milestones toward Q4 2027 delivery. The AMD credit support agreement is a key enabler for non-recourse project debt — any update on financing terms or cost overruns would be material. Monitor TensorWave's ability to raise additional capital given its $350M Series B and >2 GW platform scale.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
FRMI ▼ -9.49% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -9.49% · α vs SPY -9.95% · entry $3.16 → $2.86
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+7 -18.23% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+7.44%
call +7.44% · α +7.15%
$3.40
settled 12d ago
T+5d
-9.49%
call -9.49% · α -9.95%
$2.86
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

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Executive Summary

Fermi Inc. disclosed a binding 15-year phase one lease with TensorWave for 222 MW of total power capacity at the Project Matador site, with estimated phase one contracted revenue of $6.5 billion over the initial term. The lease is backed by credit support from investment-grade AMD, with phased delivery beginning Q4 2027 and completion in early 2028. This is a material, long-term revenue contract that establishes a clear path to cash flows for Fermi's data center development business.

Key Facts

  • Binding 15-year phase one lease with TensorWave for 222 MW total power capacity (156 MW critical IT capacity)
  • Estimated phase one contracted revenue of $6.5 billion over the 15-year initial term
  • Estimated phase one project-level NOI margin of approximately 75%–80%
  • Credit support agreement from AMD (rated A/stable S&P, A1/stable Moody's) beginning after construction completion
  • Phased delivery begins Q4 2027, completes early 2028
  • 2.5% annual escalators in lease; two 5-year renewal options
  • TensorWave has raised $350M Series B from AMD, Magnetar, Maverick Silicon, and Nexus Venture Partners
  • TensorWave has >2 GW of secured capacity across its platform

Financial Impact

$6.5 billion in phase one contracted revenue over 15 years; estimated project-level NOI margin of 75%–80%

revenuenoicontracted backlog

Risk Factors

  • Construction and permitting risks, including NRC and TCEQ approvals
  • Tenant concentration risk — single tenant for phase one
  • Execution risk on 222 MW build-out with 75-80% NOI margin target
  • AMD credit support only begins after construction completion and rent commencement
  • Forward-looking statements subject to numerous regulatory and market uncertainties

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-109227
Document: ea030854601ex99-1.htm0001213900-26-109227
Document: 0001213900-26-109227-index-headers.html0001213900-26-109227
Document: 0001213900-26-109227-index.html0001213900-26-109227
Document: 0001213900-26-109227.txt0001213900-26-109227
54 reports for FRMI
Performance horizon
62% Hit rate @ T+5 26 of 42 directional calls Went positive at some point 35 of 43 best @ T+20▲ +56.25%May 19, 2026
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Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
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Oct 14, 2026
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$3.16 $2.86▼ −9.49%▼ −9.95%$2.62 (−17.09%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
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Report published Oct 14, 2026