EFFECT ·Filed May 29, 2026

FPS

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001800
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effectiveness clears the path for immediate pricing and execution of the follow-on offering. Expect share price pressure from the supply overhang. Monitor for pricing announcement and underwriter exercise of overallotment option. The secondary component from Neos-controlled holders signals potential continued selling.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FPS ▼ -41.11% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +41.11% · α vs SPY +42.29% · entry $54.66 → $32.19
Entry anchored
May 29, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+3.09%
call -3.09% · α -2.83%
$56.35
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+8.18%
call -8.18% · α -10.70%
$59.13
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+0.60%
call -0.60% · α -2.40%
$54.99
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-41.11%
call +41.11% · α +42.29%
$32.19
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective a registration statement (File No. 333-296245) for Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) on May 28, 2026. This EFFECT notice activates the S-1 filed May 26, 2026, for a follow-on offering of 35 million Class A shares (11.3 million primary, 23.7 million secondary), representing ~13.7% post-offering dilution. The offering can now be priced and executed, creating near-term supply overhang.

Key Facts

  • EFFECT notice for File No. 333-296245, effective May 28, 2026.
  • Activates S-1 filed May 26, 2026, for a follow-on offering of 35 million Class A shares.
  • Offering comprises 11.3 million primary shares and 23.7 million secondary shares from Neos-controlled selling stockholders.
  • Proceeds from primary shares used to redeem existing Opco LLC interests, not retained by the company.
  • Offering represents approximately 13.7% of post-offering shares outstanding.
  • Pricing and sale can proceed immediately, creating near-term supply overhang.

Financial Impact

Offering of 35 million shares, ~13.7% dilution. Primary proceeds (11.3M shares) used for Opco interest redemption, not retained. Secondary proceeds (23.7M shares) go to selling stockholders.

dilutionshares outstanding

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution of ~13.7% from the offering.
  • Secondary selling by Neos-controlled holders may indicate further insider distribution.
  • Primary proceeds not retained by company — no operational benefit from the capital raise.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Electrical Industrial Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001800
Document: 9999999995-26-001800-index.html9999999995-26-001800
Document: 9999999995-26-001800.txt9999999995-26-001800
9 reports for FPS
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +89.74%Mar 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FPS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$31.36 $39.44▲ +25.77%▲ +24.95%$39.53 (+26.07%)
Aug 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$32.19 $30.54▼ −5.13%▼ −5.59%$39.53 (+22.82%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.86 $46.15▲ +1.52%▲ +2.45%$39.53 (+15.63%)
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
S-1
MIXED ★ 6/10
$55.86 $47.50▼ −14.97%▼ −15.57%$39.53 (−29.22%)
May 30, 2026
17w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$56.35 $59.13▼ −4.93%▼ −7.68%$39.53 (+29.84%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$54.66 $59.13▼ −8.18%▼ −10.70%$39.53 (+27.67%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$47.30 $56.88▼ −20.25%▼ −19.05%$39.53 (+16.42%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$50.19 $48.52▼ −3.33%▼ −2.61%$39.53 (−21.23%)
Mar 24, 2026
27w ago
S-1
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$32.47 $29.13▼ −10.29%▼ −10.04%$39.53 (+21.76%)
Showing 9 of 9

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