8-K ·Filed Sep 15, 2026

FPS

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed17d 6h ago SEC0002080126-26-000034
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive guidance raise and record backlog signal a multi-year growth trajectory. Traders should watch for potential upside to FY2027 guidance as the company executes on its $3.0B backlog and new capacity comes online. The stock is likely to re-rate higher given the accelerating growth profile and expanding margins.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
FPS ▲ +25.77% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +25.77% · α vs SPY +24.95% · entry $31.36 → $39.44
Next anchor: T+20d in 11d
Latest observation: T+8 +23.47% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Sep 15, 06:40 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+12.36%
call +12.36% · α +12.03%
$35.24
settled 16d ago
T+5d
+25.77%
call +25.77% · α +24.95%
$39.44
settled 10d ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
in 11d
T+60d
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call — · α —
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in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Forgent Power Solutions reported a record fiscal Q4 2026, with revenue of $462M (+94% YoY) and Adjusted EPS of $0.25, beating the $0.24 consensus. The company also initiated FY2027 guidance for revenue of $2.4B-$2.6B and Adjusted EPS of $1.26-$1.40, well above prior forecasts, driven by a record $3.0B backlog and accelerating demand from data centers and grid infrastructure. The results and guidance significantly exceeded expectations, confirming the company's strong execution and market share gains in a high-growth environment.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.25
est $0.24 · +4.2%
Revenue
$461.7M
est $429.9M · +7.4% · +94.0% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
$2,400M - $2,600M
initiated
Gross Margin
36.1%

Key Facts

  • Q4 FY2026 revenue of $461.7M, up 94% YoY and above the high-end of May guidance ($392M-$432M).
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.25 beat the $0.24 consensus estimate by 4.2%.
  • Record quarterly bookings of $1.5B, a 375% YoY increase, with a 3.3x book-to-bill ratio.
  • Backlog reached an all-time high of $3.0B, up 256% YoY and 53% sequentially.
  • FY2027 guidance initiated: revenue $2.4B-$2.6B (76% YoY growth at midpoint) and Adjusted EPS $1.26-$1.40 (95% YoY growth at midpoint).
  • Net income margin expanded to 14.3% in Q4, up 800 bps QoQ, and Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 24.4%.
  • Operating cash flow was $74M in Q4, a $81M improvement YoY.
  • Announced a $35M incremental capacity expansion for Powertrain Solutions in Tijuana, Mexico.

Financial Impact

FY2027 revenue guidance of $2.4B-$2.6B represents ~76% YoY growth at the midpoint, with Adjusted EPS guidance of $1.26-$1.40 implying ~95% YoY growth. The company's record $3.0B backlog provides high visibility into this growth.

revenueepsguidancebacklogbookingsoperating cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on the production ramp to meet record backlog demand.
  • Potential for margin compression from accelerated hiring and new facility startup costs.
  • Dependence on sustained data center and AI infrastructure investment cycles.
  • Raw material cost inflation (steel, copper) could pressure gross margins.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Electrical Industrial Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0002080126-26-000034
Document: fps-20260915.htm0002080126-26-000034
Document: 0002080126-26-000034-index-headers.html0002080126-26-000034
Document: 0002080126-26-000034-index.html0002080126-26-000034
Document: 0002080126-26-000034.txt0002080126-26-000034
8-K Data (Synthetic)0002080126-26-000034
9 reports for FPS
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +89.74%Mar 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FPS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$31.36 $39.44▲ +25.77%▲ +24.95%$40.27 (+28.41%)
Aug 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$32.19 $30.54▼ −5.13%▼ −5.59%$40.27 (+25.10%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.86 $46.15▲ +1.52%▲ +2.45%$40.27 (+14.06%)
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
S-1
MIXED ★ 6/10
$55.86 $47.50▼ −14.97%▼ −15.57%$40.27 (−27.91%)
May 30, 2026
17w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$56.35 $59.13▼ −4.93%▼ −7.68%$40.27 (+28.54%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$54.66 $59.13▼ −8.18%▼ −10.70%$40.27 (+26.33%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$47.30 $56.88▼ −20.25%▼ −19.05%$40.27 (+14.86%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$50.19 $48.52▼ −3.33%▼ −2.61%$40.27 (−19.76%)
Mar 24, 2026
27w ago
S-1
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$32.47 $29.13▼ −10.29%▼ −10.04%$40.27 (+24.02%)
Showing 9 of 9

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