8-K ·Filed Jul 16, 2026

ETSY

ETSY INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001370637-26-000066
8-K Item 1.01 + 5.02 (likely routine officer/director compensation agreement)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

With the CMA clearance obtained and a firm closing date set for July 30, the likelihood of the Depop sale closing is very high. The elevated $158M reverse termination fee after July 15 further protects Etsy. Traders should monitor for the closing announcement and any potential last-minute issues, but the risk of deal failure is now minimal.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ETSY ▼ -3.37% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -3.37% · α vs SPY -6.98% · entry $83.48 → $80.67
Next anchor: T+60d in 7d
Latest observation: T+52 -45.12% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 16, 05:36 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.74%
call +0.74% · α +1.73%
$84.10
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.08%
call -3.08% · α -1.41%
$80.91
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-3.37%
call -3.37% · α -6.98%
$80.67
settled 7w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 7d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Etsy and eBay entered a Second Amendment to the Depop sale agreement after the UK CMA cleared the transaction on July 15, 2026. The parties now expect the deal to close on July 30, 2026. The amendment fixes the closing date, adjusts the business disruption fee (reverse termination fee) to $68M or $158M depending on termination date, and shifts purchase price measurement to a Lockbox Date of July 17, 2026, with eBay paying interest on the closing price from that date.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) cleared the Depop acquisition on July 15, 2026.
  • Expected closing date: July 30, 2026.
  • Business disruption fee reset: $68M if terminated after June 30 but on or before July 15, 2026; $158M if terminated after July 15, 2026.
  • Purchase price adjustment items measured as of Lockbox Date (July 17, 2026) instead of closing date.
  • eBay will pay interest on the Closing Purchase Price at SOFR + 0.40% per annum from Lockbox Date through closing.

Financial Impact

Sale of Depop subsidiary; deal value not disclosed in this filing. Termination fee provisions increased to $158M after July 15, providing strong deal protection for Etsy.

cash proceedstermination fee exposure

Risk Factors

  • Potential delay in closing if any remaining conditions are not satisfied.
  • General market or regulatory changes could still impact the transaction.
  • The deal value is undisclosed, so the financial impact on Etsy's balance sheet is uncertain.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Business Services, NEC
Analyst Consensus
43% bullish (37 analysts)

Investment Themes

E-commerce & Platforms

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001370637-26-000066
Document: etsy-20260712.htm0001370637-26-000066
Document: 0001370637-26-000066-index-headers.html0001370637-26-000066
Document: 0001370637-26-000066-index.html0001370637-26-000066
Document: 0001370637-26-000066.txt0001370637-26-000066
23 reports for ETSY
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate 6 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +16.78%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ETSY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$76.51 $74.46▼ −2.68%▼ −1.47%$72.69 (−4.99%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.21 $82.94▲ +2.13%▲ +1.02%$72.69 (−10.49%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.21 $82.94▲ +2.13%▲ +1.02%$72.69 (−10.49%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$79.63 $80.15▲ +0.66%▲ +1.10%$72.69 (−8.72%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$85.09 $79.90▼ −6.10%▼ −6.50%$72.69 (−14.58%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$85.86 $79.63▼ −7.26%▼ −7.61%$72.69 (−15.34%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$85.86 $79.63▼ −7.26%▼ −7.61%$72.69 (−15.34%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$84.10 $80.91▼ −3.79%▼ −3.11%$72.69 (−13.57%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$84.10 $80.91▲ +3.79%▲ +3.11%$72.69 (+13.57%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$83.48 $80.91▼ −3.08%▼ −1.41%$72.69 (−12.93%)
Showing 10 of 23

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