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S-3 ·Filed Sep 25, 2026

CYDY

CytoDyn Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001175680-26-000024
Shelf registration — potential dilution
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for selling stockholder sales under the shelf — any material volume could pressure the already-depressed $0.21 stock price. Watch for warrant exercises only if the stock rises above the weighted average exercise price of ~$0.28. The going-concern qualification and lack of revenue make any equity-linked financing a distress signal.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
CYDY ▼ -9.09% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +9.09% · α vs SPY +10.30% · entry $0.2200 → $0.2000
Next anchor: T+20d due 3d ago
Latest observation: T+19 -23.90% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-9.09%
call +9.09% · α +8.91%
$0.2000
settled 28d ago
T+5d
-9.09%
call +9.09% · α +10.30%
$0.2000
settled 24d ago
T+20d
Pending
due 3d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CytoDyn filed an S-3 registration statement to register 794,972,289 shares of common stock for resale by selling stockholders, including 410,046,456 already-issued shares and 384,925,833 shares underlying warrants. The company will not receive proceeds from share sales but could receive up to ~$94.6 million if all warrants are exercised for cash. The filing signals massive potential overhang — the registered shares represent ~54% of the current 1.47B shares outstanding — and the auditor's report includes a going-concern qualification, indicating severe financial distress.

Key Facts

  • S-3 registers 794,972,289 shares for resale: 410,046,456 issued shares + 384,925,833 warrant shares
  • Shares outstanding as of Sept 24, 2026: 1,469,518,019; registered shares = ~54% dilution overhang
  • Company receives no proceeds from share sales; up to ~$94.6M if all warrants exercised for cash
  • Warrant exercise prices range from $0.09387 to $0.50 per share; weighted avg exercise price ~$0.28
  • Stock closed at $0.21/share on Sept 24, 2026 — many warrants are out of the money
  • Auditor's report on FY2026 financials includes a going-concern qualification
  • Company is a clinical-stage biotech with no approved products; only drug candidate is leronlimab
  • Selling stockholders include former director David F. Welch (2.6% holder), Thomas Hamilton (2.4%), and numerous retail investors
  • Registration covers shares from private offerings, warrant exchanges, legal settlements, and backstop agreements dating back to 2011
  • Company paid Paulson Investment Company ~$2.3M in cash fees as placement agent

Financial Impact

Potential warrant exercise proceeds up to ~$94.6M; registered shares represent ~54% of current outstanding shares at $0.21/share (~$167M market value at current price)

dilutionshare pricemarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution overhang of 795M shares (~54% of current float) could suppress stock price
  • Going-concern qualification signals high risk of bankruptcy or need for dilutive financing
  • No approved products or revenue; leronlimab still in Phase 2 trials with uncertain regulatory path
  • Many warrants are out of the money (exercise prices up to $0.50 vs $0.21 stock price), limiting potential cash proceeds
  • OTCQB listing limits institutional investor base and liquidity

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3 Filing (Primary)0001175680-26-000024
Document: ck0001175680-exfiling_fees.htm0001175680-26-000024
Document: ck0001175680-ex5_1.htm0001175680-26-000024
Document: ck0001175680-ex23_1.htm0001175680-26-000024
Document: 0001175680-26-000024-index-headers.html0001175680-26-000024
Document: 0001175680-26-000024-index.html0001175680-26-000024
Document: 0001175680-26-000024.txt0001175680-26-000024
7 reports for CYDY
Performance horizon
20% Hit rate @ T+1 1 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 5 best @ T+1▲ +4.17%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CYDY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.2500 $0.2500· 0.00%▼ −0.53%$0.2600 (+4.00%)
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2500 $0.2500· 0.00%▼ −0.53%$0.2600 (+4.00%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.60%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.55%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.55%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2200 $0.2000▲ +9.09%▲ +8.91%$0.2600 (−18.18%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.2400 $0.2300▲ +4.17%▲ +2.85%$0.2600 (−8.33%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 20m

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Report published Sep 25, 2026