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EFFECT ·Filed Oct 5, 2026

CYDY

CytoDyn Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed21d 8h ago SEC9999999995-26-003138
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The dual effectiveness removes the SEC review barrier for both the POS AM and the S-3 shelf. Monitor for any selling stockholder notices of intent to sell (Form 144 filings) and daily volume spikes on the OTCQB. The sheer size of the registered shares (795M vs. likely outstanding share count) suggests prolonged overhang. Watch for any subsequent takedown or prospectus supplement specifying pricing and volume.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
CYDY ▲ 0.00% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost 0.00% · α vs SPY +0.42% · entry $0.2000 → $0.2000
Next anchor: T+20d in 7d
Latest observation: T+14 -40.43% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.55%
$0.2000
settled 20d ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.42%
$0.2000
settled 14d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 7d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two CytoDyn Inc. registration statements became effective on October 2, 2026: a POS AM (File No. 333-282000) and a new S-3 shelf (File No. 333-295250). The S-3 registers the resale of up to 794,972,289 shares (410,046,456 common shares plus 384,925,833 shares underlying warrants) by selling stockholders, with the company receiving no proceeds except from cash warrant exercises. The effectiveness removes the SEC review barrier, allowing immediate share sales into the market, creating significant dilution overhang for existing holders.

Key Facts

  • Two EFFECT notices filed on 2026-10-02 for File Nos. 333-282000 (POS AM) and 333-295250 (new S-3 shelf).
  • The S-3 registers the resale of up to 794,972,289 shares by selling stockholders — 410,046,456 common shares and 384,925,833 shares underlying warrants.
  • Company receives no proceeds from share resales; only receives proceeds if warrants are exercised for cash.
  • As of September 24, 2026, CYDY closed at $0.21 per share on the OTCQB.
  • The S-3 was filed on September 25, 2026, and became effective 7 days later on October 2, 2026.

Financial Impact

Up to 794,972,289 shares registered for resale, representing massive potential dilution. At $0.21/share, the registered shares have a nominal value of ~$167M, but actual market impact depends on selling pace.

dilutionshare price

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution overhang from up to 795M shares registered for resale.
  • No company proceeds from share resales — selling stockholders control timing and volume.
  • OTCQB-listed stock with low liquidity may experience severe price pressure if selling begins in size.

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (CYDY) — Batch item 19999999995-26-003138
Document: 9999999995-26-003138-index.html9999999995-26-003140
Document: 9999999995-26-003138.txt9999999995-26-003138
EFFECT Filing (CYDY) — Batch item 49999999995-26-003140
Document: 9999999995-26-003140-index.html9999999995-26-003138
Document: 9999999995-26-003140.txt9999999995-26-003138
7 reports for CYDY
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 5 best @ T+1▲ +9.09%Sep 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CYDY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.2500 $0.2500· 0.00%▼ −0.53%$0.2600 (+4.00%)
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2500 $0.2500· 0.00%▼ −0.53%$0.2600 (+4.00%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.60%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.55%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.55%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2200 $0.2000▲ +9.09%▲ +8.91%$0.2600 (−18.18%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.2400 $0.2300▲ +4.17%▲ +2.85%$0.2600 (−8.33%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 22m

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Report published Oct 5, 2026