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EFFECT ·Filed Oct 8, 2026

CYDY

CytoDyn Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed18d 8h ago SEC9999999995-26-003176
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effectiveness of this S-3 shelf, combined with the prior S-1 effectiveness, signals that CytoDyn is actively positioning for capital raises. Monitor for any takedown announcements or prospectus supplements that would indicate actual share sales, which could pressure the stock price further. The large warrant component (384,925,833 shares) also creates additional overhang if those warrants are exercised.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
CYDY ▲ +5.00% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -5.00% · α vs SPY -5.28% · entry $0.2000 → $0.2100
Next anchor: T+20d in 10d
Latest observation: T+11 -41.48% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 8, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.60%
$0.2000
settled 17d ago
T+5d
+5.00%
call -5.00% · α -5.28%
$0.2100
settled 11d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 10d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared CytoDyn's S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-299150) effective on October 7, 2026. This allows the company to conduct future securities offerings on a delayed or continuous basis, creating potential dilution overhang. The shelf covers up to 794,972,289 shares of common stock, including 410,046,456 shares held by selling stockholders and 384,925,833 shares underlying warrants, with the stock closing at $0.21 per share on September 24, 2026.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration declared effective on October 7, 2026
  • Registration covers up to 794,972,289 shares of common stock
  • Includes 410,046,456 shares held by selling stockholders and 384,925,833 shares underlying warrants
  • Stock closed at $0.21 per share on September 24, 2026
  • Company will not receive proceeds from share sales by selling stockholders, but may receive proceeds from warrant exercises
  • Prior S-1 filing (April 2026) also went effective, indicating ongoing capital markets activity

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to 794,972,289 shares, representing a significant overhang relative to the current share price of $0.21. At that price, the maximum potential offering value is approximately $167 million, though actual sales are at the discretion of selling stockholders.

dilutionshare price

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution risk from potential share sales by selling stockholders
  • Potential downward pressure on stock price due to overhang
  • Company may not receive proceeds from share sales, limiting benefit to the company
  • Warrant exercise could add further dilution

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-003176
Document: 9999999995-26-003176-index.html9999999995-26-003176
Document: 9999999995-26-003176.txt9999999995-26-003176
7 reports for CYDY
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 5 best @ T+1▲ +9.09%Sep 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CYDY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.2500 $0.2500· 0.00%▼ −0.53%$0.2600 (+4.00%)
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2500 $0.2500· 0.00%▼ −0.53%$0.2600 (+4.00%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.60%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.55%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2000 $0.2000· 0.00%▲ +0.55%$0.2600 (−30.00%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2200 $0.2000▲ +9.09%▲ +8.91%$0.2600 (−18.18%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.2400 $0.2300▲ +4.17%▲ +2.85%$0.2600 (−8.33%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 22m

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Report published Oct 8, 2026