8-K ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

CXW

CoreCivic, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-341335
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The ASR is a clear signal of management's conviction and strong cash position, boosting EPS and FFO per share mechanically. However, the deployment of cash is a present-certain event that reduces earnings power on an absolute basis (Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA guidance were lowered). Monitor the final settlement price vs. the initial delivery to gauge whether the repurchase was accretive or dilutive relative to book value. The next 10-Q will show the actual diluted share count.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
CXW ▲ +6.21% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +6.21% · α vs SPY +7.13% · entry $33.00 → $35.05
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+34 -28.13% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 10, 08:10 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+2.79%
call +2.79% · α +3.11%
$33.92
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+1.76%
call +1.76% · α +1.80%
$33.58
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+6.21%
call +6.21% · α +7.13%
$35.05
settled 25d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
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in 4w

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Executive Summary

CoreCivic entered into a $500 million accelerated share repurchase (ASR) agreement, funded with cash on hand, receiving an initial delivery of ~12.4 million shares. The company also updated 2026 full-year guidance to reflect the ASR's impact: GAAP Diluted EPS guidance was raised to $15.62–$15.82 (from $15.00–$15.20), while operational metrics such as Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA were narrowed lower. The buyback reduces the share count and boosts per-share metrics, but the deployment of $500M of cash lowers interest income and reduces Adjusted EBITDA guidance by ~$6 million at the midpoint.

Key Facts

  • CoreCivic entered into a $500M ASR agreement on August 7, 2026, with a financial institution.
  • Company received an initial delivery of approximately 12.4 million shares on August 10, 2026.
  • The ASR is part of a $755.8 million expanded share repurchase program approved by the Board on August 4, 2026.
  • 2026 full-year GAAP Diluted EPS guidance raised to $15.62–$15.82, from prior $15.00–$15.20.
  • 2026 full-year Adjusted Net Income guidance narrowed to $157M–$165M (from $161.5M–$169.5M).
  • 2026 full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance narrowed to $434.5M–$439.5M (from $440.5M–$445.5M).
  • FFO per diluted share guidance raised to $2.66–$2.75 (from $2.59–$2.68).
  • Normalized FFO per diluted share guidance raised to $2.68–$2.77 (from $2.61–$2.70).
  • Upon completion of the ASR, ~$255.8 million of share repurchase authorization will remain available.
  • Final settlement of the ASR is scheduled to occur before the end of the second quarter of 2027.

Financial Impact

The $500M ASR is funded by cash on hand; it reduces interest income and lowers adjusted operational guidance metrics by ~$6M at the midpoint for Adjusted EBITDA and ~$4.5M for Adjusted Net Income, while boosting per-share GAAP EPS guidance by ~$0.62. The initial share delivery of ~12.4M shares represents a significant reduction in the outstanding share count.

GAAP Diluted EPSAdjusted Diluted EPSFFO per shareNormalized FFO per shareAdjusted Net IncomeAdjusted EBITDAWeighted average shares outstandingInterest income

Risk Factors

  • Deployment of $500M of cash reduces interest income and lowers absolute Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA.
  • At final settlement, depending on the VWAP, the company may be required to deliver additional shares or make a cash payment, introducing uncertainty in total share reduction.
  • The share repurchase is an aggressive use of cash; if operational headwinds emerge (e.g., contract renewals, occupancy changes), the reduced cash buffer could constrain flexibility.
  • Guidance revisions for operational metrics (Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted EBITDA) were lowered, signaling that the buyback's earnings boost is partly offset by lower base earnings.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-341335
Document: d118761d8k.htm0001193125-26-341335
Document: 0001193125-26-341335-index-headers.html0001193125-26-341335
Document: 0001193125-26-341335-index.html0001193125-26-341335
Document: 0001193125-26-341335.txt0001193125-26-341335
18 reports for CXW
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 8 of 10 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +24.13%Mar 11, 2026
Filters
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Reports for CXW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.72 $32.25▼ −1.44%▼ −1.75%$32.49 (−0.70%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$33.79 $34.36▼ −1.69%▼ −2.20%$32.49 (+3.85%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$33.99 $34.36▼ −1.09%▼ −0.86%$32.49 (+4.41%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$33.14 $32.28▲ +2.60%▲ +3.57%$32.49 (+1.96%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$34.01 $32.41▲ +4.70%▲ +4.18%$32.49 (+4.47%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$31.99 $35.54▼ −11.10%▼ −13.05%$32.49 (−1.56%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$32.40 $34.93▲ +7.81%▲ +9.55%$32.49 (+0.28%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$33.58 $35.38▼ −5.36%▼ −7.34%$32.49 (+3.25%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$32.82 $34.23▲ +4.30%▲ +6.29%$32.49 (−1.01%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$32.82 $34.23▲ +4.30%▲ +6.29%$32.49 (−1.01%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 4m)

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