8-K ·Filed May 12, 2026

CWCO

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC0001104659-26-059050
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The Q1 miss and weak manufacturing outlook suggest near-term downside. Watch for the Q2 2026 Cat Island second plant commissioning and Hawaii permit progress as potential catalysts. The strong balance sheet ($126M cash) provides downside protection, but the stock may drift lower until manufacturing orders recover.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CWCO ▼ -1.38% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +1.38% · α vs SPY +5.77% · entry $30.34 → $29.92
Entry anchored
May 11, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.99%
call +0.99% · α +1.56%
$30.04
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-5.54%
call +5.54% · α +5.61%
$28.66
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-0.82%
call +0.82% · α -0.90%
$30.09
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-1.38%
call +1.38% · α +5.77%
$29.92
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Consolidated Water reported Q1 2026 revenue of $30.0M (-11% YoY) and diluted EPS from continuing ops of $0.24, missing the $0.26 consensus. The miss was driven by a 76% plunge in manufacturing revenue due to order timing and a 9% retail decline from heavy rainfall, partially offset by 12% services growth. The stock will likely trade down on the headline miss and weak manufacturing outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.24
est $0.26 · -7.7%
Revenue
$30.0M
est $31.9M · -6.0% · -11.1% YoY
Rating
miss
Gross Margin
36.4%

Key Facts

  • Total revenue decreased 11% YoY to $30.0M vs $33.7M in Q1 2025
  • Diluted EPS from continuing ops was $0.24 vs $0.31 YoY, missing consensus of $0.26
  • Manufacturing revenue collapsed 76% to $1.4M from $5.8M due to order timing
  • Retail revenue fell 9% to $8.6M on 10.2% lower water volume from heavy rainfall
  • Bulk revenue grew 4% to $8.7M on new Cat Island desalination plant
  • Services revenue rose 12% to $11.3M, driven by 15% O&M contract growth
  • Gross margin slipped to 36% from 37% YoY
  • Cash and equivalents rose to $126.3M; working capital $144.3M
  • Management guided manufacturing revenue for full-year 2026 to be below 2025's record

Financial Impact

EPS miss of ~8% vs consensus; revenue miss of ~6% vs consensus; manufacturing segment revenue down $4.4M

revenueepsmanufacturing revenueretail revenue

Risk Factors

  • Further manufacturing revenue weakness if order timing doesn't normalize
  • Hawaii desalination project permitting delays pushing revenue recognition further out
  • Retail revenue volatility from weather patterns in Grand Cayman

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Water Supply
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-059050
Document: cwco-20260511x8k.htm0001104659-26-059050
Document: 0001104659-26-059050-index-headers.html0001104659-26-059050
Document: 0001104659-26-059050-index.html0001104659-26-059050
Document: 0001104659-26-059050.txt0001104659-26-059050
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-059050
10 reports for CWCO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CWCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$29.08 $28.20▼ −3.03%▼ −6.76%$29.87 (+2.72%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$29.44 $28.92▼ −1.77%▼ −4.82%$29.87 (+1.46%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$29.92 $29.77▼ −0.50%▼ −4.50%$29.87 (−0.17%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$30.18 $29.69▼ −1.62%▼ −4.35%$29.87 (−1.03%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$30.34 $29.92▲ +1.38%▲ +5.77%$29.87 (+1.55%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.34 $29.92▲ +1.38%▲ +5.77%$29.87 (+1.55%)
Apr 27, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$33.80 $29.40▲ +13.02%▲ +17.80%$29.87 (+11.63%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.52 $29.17▼ −12.98%▼ −17.76%$29.87 (−10.89%)
Mar 16, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$31.22 $30.16▼ −3.39%▼ −13.25%$29.87 (−4.32%)
Mar 2, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$37.87 $30.18▼ −20.30%▼ −29.63%$29.87 (−21.12%)
Showing 10 of 10

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