8-K ·Filed Jun 24, 2026

CWCO

Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001104659-26-077347
8-K Item 1.01 + 5.02 (likely routine officer/director compensation agreement)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The new license removes a multi-year regulatory overhang but at the cost of lower base rates, which will pressure near-term revenue and margins. Monitor the first billing cycle under the new rates (effective August 1, 2026) for actual revenue impact and any subsequent adjustments via the RCAM. The absence of prescribed statutory/regulatory fees introduces further uncertainty on pass-through costs.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CWCO ▼ -3.03% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -3.03% · α vs SPY -6.76% · entry $29.08 → $28.20
Entry anchored
Jun 24, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.41%
call +1.41% · α +2.13%
$29.49
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+1.41%
call +1.41% · α -0.15%
$29.49
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+0.76%
call +0.76% · α +0.23%
$29.30
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-3.03%
call -3.03% · α -6.76%
$28.20
settled 14d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Consolidated Water's subsidiary Cayman Water received a new 25-year exclusive license from OfReg to produce and distribute potable water in its service area, resolving years of regulatory uncertainty. The license establishes lower base rates than the prior structure, with the company estimating pro forma revenue reductions of ~$2.1M in 2024, ~$1.9M in 2025, and ~$0.6M in Q1 2026, though it provides long-term operational certainty and a rate cap adjustment mechanism tied to CPI/PPI.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
other

Key Facts

  • OfReg approved a new 25-year water production and distribution license for Cayman Water, effective August 1, 2026.
  • The license grants exclusive rights to produce, distribute, and sell potable water within the License Area (Seven Mile Beach and West Bay on Grand Cayman).
  • Base rates are set at CI$16.23/1,000 gal (first 3,000 gal residential), CI$21.21/1,000 gal (residential over 3,000 gal), and similar tiers for commercial and public authority customers.
  • The company estimates that applying the new rates to historical volumes would have reduced revenue by ~$2.1M in 2024, ~$1.9M in 2025, and ~$0.6M in Q1 2026 vs. the prior rate structure.
  • The license includes an energy cost pass-through mechanism with efficiency incentives and annual rate adjustments via a Rate Cap Adjustment Mechanism (RCAM) based on CI CPI and US PPI.
  • Statutory and regulatory fee charges are contemplated but have not yet been prescribed by the Cayman Islands Parliament.
  • The license does not renew automatically; Cayman Water may apply for renewal 24–36 months before expiry.
  • Revocation or suspension is possible for fundamental breach, persistent non-compliance, insolvency, or failure to meet demand.

Financial Impact

Pro forma revenue reduction of approximately $2.1M (2024), $1.9M (2025), and $0.6M (Q1 2026) under new rates vs. prior structure, based on historical volumes and assumptions.

revenueoperating incomecash flows

Risk Factors

  • Lower base rates could compress operating margins and cash flows compared to historical levels.
  • Statutory and regulatory fees not yet prescribed may add additional cost burdens that cannot be fully passed through.
  • License revocation or non-renewal risk if performance standards or demand obligations are not met.
  • Potential for future rate modifications by OfReg or Cabinet for security, public interest, or health reasons without company consent.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Water Supply
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-077347
Document: cwco-20260618x8k.htm0001104659-26-077347
Document: 0001104659-26-077347-index-headers.html0001104659-26-077347
Document: 0001104659-26-077347-index.html0001104659-26-077347
Document: 0001104659-26-077347.txt0001104659-26-077347
10 reports for CWCO
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +13.02%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CWCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$29.08 $28.20▼ −3.03%▼ −6.76%$29.84 (+2.61%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$29.44 $28.92▼ −1.77%▼ −4.82%$29.84 (+1.36%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$29.92 $29.77▼ −0.50%▼ −4.50%$29.84 (−0.27%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$30.18 $29.69▼ −1.62%▼ −4.35%$29.84 (−1.13%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$30.34 $29.92▲ +1.38%▲ +5.77%$29.84 (+1.65%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.34 $29.92▲ +1.38%▲ +5.77%$29.84 (+1.65%)
Apr 27, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$33.80 $29.40▲ +13.02%▲ +17.80%$29.84 (+11.72%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.52 $29.17▼ −12.98%▼ −17.76%$29.84 (−10.98%)
Mar 16, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$31.22 $30.16▼ −3.39%▼ −13.25%$29.84 (−4.41%)
Mar 2, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$37.87 $30.18▼ −20.30%▼ −29.63%$29.84 (−21.20%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

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