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S-3 ·Filed May 12, 2026

CODX

Co-Diagnostics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001493152-26-022504
Shelf registration — potential dilution
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The extreme size of this shelf relative to market cap creates massive overhang. Monitor for any prospectus supplement indicating an actual takedown — even a small percentage of the shelf would be highly dilutive. The company's failed FDA submission and ongoing cash needs suggest a capital raise is likely imminent. Short sellers should watch for accelerated offerings.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CODX ▼ -5.00% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.00% · α vs SPY +9.44% · entry $1.60 → $1.52
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.00%
$1.60
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+23.13%
call -23.13% · α -24.28%
$1.97
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+193.75%
call -193.75% · α -194.36%
$4.70
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-5.00%
call +5.00% · α +9.44%
$1.52
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Co-Diagnostics filed a universal shelf registration statement to offer up to $150M in securities (common, preferred, debt, warrants, units, rights) from time to time. With a market cap of only $7M, this shelf represents over 20x the company's current equity value, signaling extreme potential dilution. The company has no committed offerings yet, but the filing provides maximum flexibility to raise capital as needed.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$150.0M

Key Facts

  • Shelf registration allows up to $150,000,000 in securities — over 20x the current $7M market cap
  • Stock price was $1.90 per share as of May 11, 2026
  • Only 2,095,031 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2025
  • Company voluntarily withdrew its FDA 510(k) submission for the Co-Dx PCR COVID-19 test in 2024
  • No binding agreements or commitments for any specific offering at this time
  • Proceeds intended for working capital, sales/marketing, capital expenditures, and product development

Financial Impact

Up to $150,000,000 in potential dilution against a $7M market cap — maximum dilution could exceed 95% of existing equity

dilutionmarket capitalizationshare price

Risk Factors

  • Extreme dilution risk — shelf is 20x current market cap
  • Company has no committed revenue from its PCR platform (FDA submission withdrawn)
  • Potential for distressed capital raise given limited cash runway
  • Stock already trading near $1.90 — any offering could push price below Nasdaq listing requirements

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3 Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-022504
Exhibit: ex4-1.htm0001493152-26-022504
15 reports for CODX
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 10 best @ T+60▲ +80.16%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CODX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5473awaiting T+20—$0.5470 (+0.05%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7151awaiting T+20—$0.5470 (+23.51%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.07awaiting T+20—$0.5470 (+48.64%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.9408 $1.07▲ +13.20%▲ +10.02%$0.5470 (−41.86%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9408 $1.07▲ +13.20%▲ +10.02%$0.5470 (−41.86%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.16 $1.10▼ −5.17%▼ −5.77%$0.5470 (−52.84%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.16 $1.07▲ +7.76%▲ +7.68%$0.5470 (+52.84%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.44 $1.21▲ +15.97%▲ +18.96%$0.5470 (+62.01%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.41 $1.23▲ +12.77%▲ +16.15%$0.5470 (+61.21%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.20 $3.10▲ +50.00%▲ +48.70%$0.5470 (+91.18%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 8h 23m

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Report published May 12, 2026