SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

CODX

Co-Diagnostics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed13d 19h ago SEC0001493152-26-046676
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The mandatory ATM cash sweep means any equity issuance will primarily benefit the lender, not the company's operations. Monitor the weekly ATM sales volumes and the stock price relative to the $1.09 Nasdaq Minimum Price — a sustained decline below $1.00 triggers a forced reverse split. The Nov 10 stockholder meeting deadline is a key catalyst; failure to obtain approval constitutes an event of default.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
CODX ▼ -39.25% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +39.25% · α vs SPY +38.10% · entry $1.07 → $0.6470
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+8 +37.36% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-28.17%
call +28.17% · α +27.09%
$0.7650
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-39.25%
call +39.25% · α +38.10%
$0.6470
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Co-Diagnostics entered into a $3.1M senior secured loan facility with J.J. Astor & Co., structured as a high-cost debt with a 1.35x factor rate ($2.835M principal on $2.1M initial draw) and 30 weekly installments. The loan is secured by substantially all assets, includes a conversion feature at a discount to VWAP (subject to a floor price), and mandates that 100% of ATM proceeds be swept to the lender until the note is repaid. The combination of onerous debt terms, full asset security, and the ATM cash sweep signals severe financial distress and a highly dilutive capital structure.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$3.1M
Deal Type
credit_facility
Offering Size
$2.8M

Key Facts

  • Initial loan of $2.1M with a $2.835M principal note (1.35x factor rate), net proceeds of ~$2.016M after $84K origination fee
  • Additional $1M tranche available after 60 days with a $1.35M principal note (1.35x factor rate)
  • 30 weekly installments of $94,500 each, maturing May 7, 2027
  • Conversion price set at 90% of lowest 10-day VWAP, subject to a floor price of $0.218 (20% of Nasdaq Minimum Price of $1.09)
  • Default triggers 120% principal acceleration and 19% default interest
  • 100% of ATM proceeds must be swept to lender-controlled DACA account until note is repaid
  • 600,000 commitment shares issued to lender, with make-whole provisions if stock price declines
  • Full asset security interest granted across company and three subsidiaries
  • Covenants require maintaining $250K minimum cash and $7.35M ATM capacity
  • Stockholder meeting required by Nov 10, 2026 to approve reverse stock split and share issuance above Exchange Cap

Financial Impact

Effective cost of capital exceeds 35% given the 1.35x factor rate on a 30-week term; full asset lien and ATM cash sweep severely restrict financial flexibility

debtdilutioncash_flowequity

Risk Factors

  • High probability of default given the aggressive repayment schedule ($94.5K/week) relative to likely cash flows
  • Massive dilution risk from conversion at deep discount (90% of VWAP) and make-whole provisions
  • ATM cash sweep eliminates company's ability to retain equity offering proceeds
  • Forced reverse stock split if bid price falls below $1.00 for 10 consecutive days
  • Cross-default risk: breach of any covenant triggers immediate event of default

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-046676
Exhibit: ex10-2.htm0001493152-26-046676
Exhibit: ex10-5.htm0001493152-26-046676
Exhibit: ex4-1.htm0001493152-26-046676
15 reports for CODX
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 10 best @ T+60▲ +80.16%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CODX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5473awaiting T+20—$0.5470 (+0.05%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7151awaiting T+20—$0.5470 (+23.51%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.07awaiting T+20—$0.5470 (+48.64%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.9408 $1.07▲ +13.20%▲ +10.02%$0.5470 (−41.86%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9408 $1.07▲ +13.20%▲ +10.02%$0.5470 (−41.86%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.16 $1.10▼ −5.17%▼ −5.77%$0.5470 (−52.84%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.16 $1.07▲ +7.76%▲ +7.68%$0.5470 (+52.84%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.44 $1.21▲ +15.97%▲ +18.96%$0.5470 (+62.01%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.41 $1.23▲ +12.77%▲ +16.15%$0.5470 (+61.21%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.20 $3.10▲ +50.00%▲ +48.70%$0.5470 (+91.18%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 7h 35m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Oct 13, 2026