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8-K/A ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

CODX

Co-Diagnostics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed12d 16h ago SEC0001493152-26-047089
8-K with no item list reported
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The company has effectively pledged its primary equity capital-raising vehicle (the ATM) to service a high-cost secured loan, leaving it with limited access to new equity capital until the notes are repaid. Monitor the stockholder meeting timeline and any Nasdaq listing compliance issues. The conversion terms (90% of 10-day VWAP floor) create significant potential dilution if the stock trades near the floor price.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
CODX ▼ -20.29% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +20.29% · α vs SPY +19.28% · entry $0.7151 → $0.5700
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+7 +6.10% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-8.54%
call +8.54% · α +7.44%
$0.6540
settled 12d ago
T+5d
-20.29%
call +20.29% · α +19.28%
$0.5700
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Co-Diagnostics filed an 8-K/A to correct the original 8-K by removing Maxim Group LLC as a party to the ATM Waterfall Distribution Agreement and adding an ATM Payment Direction Letter. The underlying transaction is a senior secured convertible loan from J.J. Astor & Co. for up to $3.1 million ($2.1 million funded initially), with a factor rate of 1.35x, secured by substantially all assets. All net proceeds from the company's existing ATM program (approx. $7.35M remaining capacity) are diverted to the lender under a waterfall structure until the notes are repaid, severely restricting the company's access to equity capital.

Key Facts

  • Co-Diagnostics entered a loan agreement with J.J. Astor & Co. for up to $3.1 million; initial $2.1 million funded, net cash proceeds ~$2.016 million after 4% origination fee.
  • The Initial Note has an original principal amount of $2.835 million (1.35x factor rate); an Additional Note of $1.35 million may be issued for an additional $1.0 million loan.
  • 100% of net proceeds from the company's ATM program (approx. $7.35M remaining capacity) are directed to a DACA account controlled by the lender.
  • Under the ATM waterfall: first $1.0M of ATM net proceeds goes to lender; then 80% to lender until weekly installments are met; then 25% to lender for remainder of week; after default, 80% to lender.
  • The company must maintain ATM shares worth at least 200% of the outstanding principal amount of the notes.
  • 600,000 commitment shares were issued to the lender at closing, subject to a make-whole provision if the stock closes below $0.218.
  • The notes are convertible into common stock at a discount to VWAP (90% normally, 80% on default), subject to a floor price of 20% of the Nasdaq minimum price.
  • The company must seek stockholder approval for issuances exceeding Nasdaq limits and must hold a stockholder meeting within ~40 days of funding.
  • The filing is an amendment to correct the original 8-K; the original was filed on October 13, 2026.

Financial Impact

Up to $3.1M in loan proceeds ($2.1M funded initially, net ~$2.016M) secured by a senior lien on all assets. The ATM program (approx. $7.35M remaining capacity) is effectively pledged to repay the notes, with the company receiving only a portion of ATM proceeds after the lender is paid. The effective interest cost is a 1.35x factor rate on a 30-week repayment schedule, plus 600,000 commitment shares and potential dilution from conversion at a discount to market.

debtdilutioncashFlow

Risk Factors

  • Potential significant dilution from conversion of notes at a discount to market price, with no cap on conversion shares beyond the floor price and Nasdaq limits.
  • The ATM program is effectively unavailable for general corporate purposes until the notes are repaid, as all net proceeds are diverted to the lender.
  • If the stock price declines, the ATM Coverage Requirement (200% of outstanding principal) may trigger further restrictions on cash flow to the company.
  • The company must hold a stockholder meeting within ~40 days to authorize share issuances above Nasdaq limits, creating execution risk.
  • Default triggers a 120% acceleration of principal, 19% default interest, and a more favorable conversion price (80% of VWAP) for the lender.

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K/A Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-047089
Exhibit: ex10-7.htm0001493152-26-047089
Document: form8-ka.htm0001493152-26-047089
Document: 0001493152-26-047089-index-headers.html0001493152-26-047089
Document: 0001493152-26-047089-index.html0001493152-26-047089
Document: 0001493152-26-047089.txt0001493152-26-047089
15 reports for CODX
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 10 best @ T+60▲ +80.16%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CODX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5473awaiting T+20—$0.4690 (+14.31%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7151awaiting T+20—$0.4690 (+34.41%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.07awaiting T+20—$0.4690 (+55.96%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.9408 $1.07▲ +13.20%▲ +10.02%$0.4690 (−50.15%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9408 $1.07▲ +13.20%▲ +10.02%$0.4690 (−50.15%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.16 $1.10▼ −5.17%▼ −5.77%$0.4690 (−59.57%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.16 $1.07▲ +7.76%▲ +7.68%$0.4690 (+59.57%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.44 $1.21▲ +15.97%▲ +18.96%$0.4690 (+67.43%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.41 $1.23▲ +12.77%▲ +16.15%$0.4690 (+66.74%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.20 $3.10▲ +50.00%▲ +48.70%$0.4690 (+92.44%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 10m)

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Report published Oct 15, 2026