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EFFECT ·Filed May 18, 2026

CODX

Co-Diagnostics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonimmediate Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001676
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The shelf being effective creates an overhang that will likely pressure the stock. Monitor for any takedown announcements (e.g., 424B5 filings) which would trigger actual dilution. Given the extreme size relative to market cap, any offering would be highly dilutive.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CODX ▲ +8.76% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -8.76% · α vs SPY -3.18% · entry $1.37 → $1.49
Entry = T+0 close
May 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+43.80%
call -43.80% · α -44.46%
$1.97
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+564.96%
call -564.96% · α -563.35%
$9.11
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+180.29%
call -180.29% · α -178.71%
$3.84
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+8.76%
call -8.76% · α -3.18%
$1.49
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Co-Diagnostics' universal shelf registration (File No. 333-295803) became effective on May 15, 2026, enabling the company to offer up to $150M in securities. With a market cap of only $5M, this shelf represents extreme potential dilution — over 30x current equity value — and signals that the company is positioned to raise capital as needed.

Key Facts

  • Shelf registration became effective on May 15, 2026
  • Up to $150M in securities (common, preferred, debt, warrants, units, rights) can now be offered
  • Market cap is approximately $5M, making the shelf over 30x current equity value
  • No committed offerings have been announced, but the company now has maximum flexibility to raise capital

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of over 30x current market cap if the full $150M shelf is utilized

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution risk if the company conducts a follow-on offering
  • Continued stock price pressure from the overhang of potential future offerings
  • Company may need to raise capital urgently, suggesting financial distress

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001676
Document: 9999999995-26-001676-index.html9999999995-26-001676
Document: 9999999995-26-001676.txt9999999995-26-001676
15 reports for CODX
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 10 best @ T+60▲ +80.16%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CODX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.5473awaiting T+20—$0.4924 (+10.03%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7151awaiting T+20—$0.4924 (+31.14%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.07awaiting T+20—$0.4924 (+53.77%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.9408 $1.07▲ +13.20%▲ +10.02%$0.4924 (−47.66%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.9408 $1.07▲ +13.20%▲ +10.02%$0.4924 (−47.66%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.16 $1.10▼ −5.17%▼ −5.77%$0.4924 (−57.55%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.16 $1.07▲ +7.76%▲ +7.68%$0.4924 (+57.55%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.44 $1.21▲ +15.97%▲ +18.96%$0.4924 (+65.81%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.41 $1.23▲ +12.77%▲ +16.15%$0.4924 (+65.08%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$6.20 $3.10▲ +50.00%▲ +48.70%$0.4924 (+92.06%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Report published May 18, 2026