Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Sep 15, 2026

CME

CME GROUP INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonimmediate Processed17d 12h ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $4.1M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This insider cluster is too small relative to CME's $99B market cap to warrant a trading signal. The CEO's $3.94M sale is likely personal diversification or tax-related, not a bearish view on the company. Monitor for any material increase in insider selling volume or a shift to C-suite buying before adjusting positioning.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d
CME ▼ -2.86% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -2.86% · α vs SPY -3.68% · entry $275.09 → $267.21
Next anchor: T+20d in 10d
Latest observation: T+12 -8.34% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Sep 14, 04:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-1.22%
call -1.22% · α -1.55%
$271.73
settled 17d ago
T+5d
-2.86%
call -2.86% · α -3.68%
$267.21
settled 11d ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
in 10d
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CME Group Chairman & CEO Terrence Duffy sold ~$4.1M in stock over two days, with a director selling an additional $140K. The CEO's sale of 14,372 shares at $274.41 is the dominant transaction, representing 0.004% of CME's $99.1B market cap — a trivial amount relative to company size. This is a routine cluster of sales, likely tied to personal liquidity or tax planning, and carries no bearish signal given the immaterial dollar value and the weak predictive power of insider sales clusters per academic literature.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$4.1M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • Chairman & CEO Terrence Duffy sold 14,372 shares at $274.41 for ~$3.94M on 2026-09-10
  • CEO also sold 628 shares at $275.03 for ~$172.7K on same day
  • Director Elizabeth Cook sold 500 shares at $280.11 for ~$140K on 2026-09-14
  • Total cluster value: ~$4.08M, representing 0.004% of $99.1B market cap
  • All transactions are open-market sales (code S)
  • No insider buying in the cluster

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of ~$4.08M represent 0.004% of CME's $99.1B market cap — economically trivial

Risk Factors

  • Insider sales at a mega-cap like CME are rarely informative — this cluster is noise
  • Historical calibration shows past CME reports have a 10% win rate at T+20, suggesting the stock is hard to predict on filing signals alone

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services
Analyst Consensus
52% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-CME-1789432300186
13 reports for CME
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +17.30%Mar 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CME — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$275.09 $267.21▼ −2.86%▼ −3.68%$265.10 (−3.63%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
MIXED ★ 4/10
—awaiting T+5——
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$249.24 $265.44▲ +6.50%▲ +8.90%$265.10 (+6.36%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$246.38 $225.00▼ −8.68%▼ −7.01%$265.10 (+7.60%)
Jun 17, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$252.54 $231.68▼ −8.26%▼ −7.22%$265.10 (+4.97%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 1/10
$269.53 $246.38▼ −8.59%▼ −9.26%$265.10 (−1.64%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$290.04 $277.34▼ −4.38%▼ −6.18%$265.10 (−8.60%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$290.04 $277.34▼ −4.38%▼ −6.18%$265.10 (−8.60%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$285.58 $283.30▲ +0.80%▲ +0.85%$265.10 (+7.17%)
Mar 27, 2026
27w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$293.69 $308.51▲ +5.05%▲ +1.18%$265.10 (−9.73%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 2m

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Report published Sep 15, 2026