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8-K ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

CME

CME GROUP INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5d 12h ago SEC0001156375-26-000065
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

CME's record Q3 revenue and double-digit volume growth across all asset classes confirm strong secular demand for derivatives clearing amid macro uncertainty. The slight EPS miss vs consensus is negligible given the revenue beat and raised capital return. Watch for continued momentum in interest rate and equity index volumes in Q4, and monitor the cloud migration timeline for potential margin expansion.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+1d
CME ▲ +3.44% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.44% · α vs SPY +4.63% · entry $295.79 → $305.98
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+2 +2.73% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.44%
call +3.44% · α +4.63%
$305.98
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CME Group reported Q3 2026 revenue of $1.74B and adjusted diluted EPS of $3.02, a slight miss vs the $3.03 consensus. Revenue grew 13% YoY to a Q3 record, driven by record market data revenue (+20% YoY) and double-digit volume growth across all six asset classes. Net income rose 14% YoY to $1.04B, and the company returned nearly $1B to shareholders via dividends and buybacks.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$3.02
est $3.03 · -0.3%
Revenue
$1.7B
est $1.8B · -1.3% · +13.0% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 total revenue of $1.74B, up 13% YoY from $1.54B — highest Q3 revenue on record
  • Adjusted diluted EPS of $3.02 vs consensus of $3.03 (a ~0.3% miss, within rounding)
  • Net income of $1.04B, up 14% YoY from $908M
  • Market data revenue hit a record $243M, up 20% YoY
  • Q3 ADV of 29.4M contracts, a Q3 record, with double-digit volume growth across all six asset classes
  • Returned nearly $1B to shareholders: $465M in dividends and $524M in share repurchases
  • Cash of $2.4B and debt of $3.4B as of Sep 30, 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue up 13% YoY to $1.74B; adjusted net income up 11% YoY to $1.08B; record market data revenue of $243M (+20% YoY)

revenuenet incomeadjusted EPSmarket data revenueaverage daily volume

Risk Factors

  • Slight EPS miss vs consensus ($3.02 vs $3.03) could trigger minor profit-taking
  • Interest rate volume declined sequentially from Q1 2026 peak (18.7M ADV to 15.1M) — a sustained slowdown would pressure clearing fee revenue
  • Operating expenses grew 5.5% YoY, outpacing revenue growth in some line items (technology +13%, licensing +28%)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001156375-26-000065
Document: cme-20261021.htm0001156375-26-000065
Document: 0001156375-26-000065-index-headers.html0001156375-26-000065
Document: 0001156375-26-000065-index.html0001156375-26-000065
Document: 0001156375-26-000065.txt0001156375-26-000065
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001156375-26-000065
20 reports for CME
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +17.81%Mar 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CME — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$305.71awaiting T+60—$305.71 (−0.00%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$305.71awaiting T+60—$305.71 (−0.00%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$305.98awaiting T+60—$305.71 (−0.09%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$295.79awaiting T+60—$305.71 (+3.35%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$295.79awaiting T+60—$305.71 (+3.35%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$263.14awaiting T+60—$305.71 (+16.18%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$275.09awaiting T+60—$305.71 (+11.13%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$275.09awaiting T+60—$305.71 (+11.13%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
MIXED ★ 4/10
—awaiting T+60——
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$249.24 $289.46▲ +16.14%▲ +12.88%$305.71 (+22.66%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 25m)

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Report published Oct 21, 2026