8-K ·Filed Apr 30, 2026

CAT

CATERPILLAR INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0000018230-26-000017
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and accelerating top-line growth (22% YoY vs 18% in Q4 2025) confirm robust end-market demand, particularly in data center-related Power Generation (+48% retail) and North American Construction (+48% sales). However, the $710M tariff cost headwind and Resource Industries margin collapse (10.0% vs 17.0%) are material risks. Watch the earnings call for commentary on tariff mitigation and Q2 guidance; the record backlog provides a buffer but tariff escalation remains the key swing factor.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CAT ▼ -0.15% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.15% · α vs SPY -2.97% · entry $890.07 → $888.73
Entry anchored
Apr 30, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.05%
call -0.05% · α -0.26%
$889.67
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+0.47%
call +0.47% · α -1.26%
$894.23
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-1.71%
call -1.71% · α -6.94%
$874.81
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-0.15%
call -0.15% · α -2.97%
$888.73
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Caterpillar reported Q1 2026 results that significantly exceeded expectations, with revenue of $17.4B (+22% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $5.47 (+30% YoY), driven by strong volume growth in Construction Industries (+38%) and Power Energy (+22%), partially offset by tariff-related manufacturing cost headwinds and a 39% profit decline in Resource Industries. The company deployed $5.7B in buybacks and dividends in the quarter, and retail sales data showed continued momentum with total combined retail sales up 14% YoY.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$5.47
est $4.64 · +17.9%
Revenue
$17.4B
est $16.4B · +6.1% · +22.2% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 sales and revenues of $17.4B, up 22% YoY from $14.2B
  • GAAP EPS of $5.47 vs $4.20 YoY, a 30% increase; adjusted EPS of $5.54 vs $4.25 YoY
  • Operating profit of $3.085B, up 20% YoY, driven by $940M profit impact from higher sales volume and $426M favorable price realization
  • Construction Industries sales surged 38% to $7.16B with segment profit up 50% to $1.535B
  • Power Energy sales up 22% to $7.03B, with Power Generation up 41% driven by data center demand
  • Resource Industries sales grew only 4% to $3.80B, with segment profit plunging 39% to $378M on tariff costs
  • Unfavorable manufacturing costs of $710M largely reflected higher tariff costs
  • Enterprise operating cash flow of $1.9B; ended Q1 with $4.1B cash
  • Deployed $5.0B for share repurchases and $0.7B for dividends in Q1
  • Total combined retail sales up 14% YoY in Q1 2026; Power Energy retail up 32%, Construction Industries up 7%, Resource Industries up 6%

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by ~$1.0B (6.0%); EPS beat consensus by $0.83 (17.9%)

revenueepsoperating profitcash flow

Risk Factors

  • Tariff costs are accelerating — $710M in Q1 vs $1.03B in all of Q4 2025, with no sign of abatement
  • Resource Industries segment profit down 39% on tariff costs, signaling potential structural margin compression in mining/rail
  • Cash burn from buybacks ($5.0B in Q1) reduced cash from $10.0B to $4.1B, limiting financial flexibility
  • No formal guidance provided; forward-looking statements are qualitative only

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Construction Machinery & Equip
Analyst Consensus
53% bullish (34 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000018230-26-000017
Exhibit: ex992toformcat1q2026retail.htm0000018230-26-000017
Document: cat-20260430.htm0000018230-26-000017
Document: 0000018230-26-000017-index-headers.html0000018230-26-000017
Document: 0000018230-26-000017-index.html0000018230-26-000017
Document: 0000018230-26-000017.txt0000018230-26-000017
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000018230-26-000017
14 reports for CAT
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$876.54 $779.16▼ −11.11%▼ −9.87%$847.19 (−3.35%)
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$889.97 $840.87▼ −5.52%▼ −8.08%$847.19 (−4.81%)
May 15, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$863.61 $933.93▲ +8.14%▲ +5.95%$847.19 (−1.90%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$926.61 $926.18▼ −0.05%▼ −2.83%$847.19 (−8.57%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$926.61 $926.18▼ −0.05%▼ −2.83%$847.19 (−8.57%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$874.80 $865.36▼ −1.08%▼ −6.72%$847.19 (−3.16%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$874.80 $865.36▼ −1.08%▼ −6.72%$847.19 (−3.16%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$874.80 $865.36▼ −1.08%▼ −6.72%$847.19 (−3.16%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$874.80 $865.36▼ −1.08%▼ −6.72%$847.19 (−3.16%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$874.80 $865.36▼ −1.08%▼ −6.72%$847.19 (−3.16%)
Showing 10 of 14

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