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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 16, 2026

CAT

CATERPILLAR INC
MIXED
Impact 3/10
Horizonmonths Processed10d 2h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The divergence between small active buyers and one large seller suggests no unified thesis. Monitor next quarter's 13F to see if the buyers continue accumulating or if the seller's trim was a one-time reduction or the start of a broader exit. 13F data is 45+ days stale; the cluster may have already reversed.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
CAT ▼ -4.64% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -4.64% · α vs SPY -4.49% · entry $725.79 → $692.13
Next anchor: T+20d in 17d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.08%
call -0.08% · α -0.41%
$725.24
settled 8d ago
T+5d
-4.64%
call -4.64% · α -4.49%
$692.13
settled 4d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 17d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Three asset managers (Assenagon, Ninety One, Banque Pictet) doubled their CAT positions in Q3 2026, adding $14.2M in net buying value, while TD Waterhouse Canada trimmed 33% of its stake, selling $85.1M. The cluster shows mixed conviction: active buyers are increasing exposure, but the sole seller's larger absolute reduction dominates the net dollar flow.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$31.0M
Sell Value
$192.8M
Net Flow
-$70.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$70.9M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementDOUBLED+130.9%$28.6M$12.3M
Ninety One UkDOUBLED+1173.4%$1.6M$1.4M
Banque Pictet & CieDOUBLED+175%$892.0K$466.0K

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Td Waterhouse CanadaTRIM-33%$192.8M-$85.1M

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers added $14.2M in net new value, led by Assenagon ($12.3M increase to $28.6M)
  • 1 seller (TD Waterhouse Canada) reduced holdings by $85.1M, cutting from $192.8M to $13.2M
  • All three buyers doubled their positions; no new positions or exits
  • Net institutional dollar flow is negative (-$70.9M) due to the large trim

Financial Impact

Net institutional activity: $14.2M in buying vs $85.1M in selling, net outflow of $70.9M. Largest buyer (Assenagon) now holds $28.6M; largest seller (TD Waterhouse) reduced to $107.7M.

institutional ownershipfloat turnover

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is stale (45-day lag); positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Single large seller's $85M reduction dominates the net dollar flow, overwhelming the buyer signal
  • No activist or activist-related funds in the cluster; all are asset managers with mixed conviction

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-CAT-2026-Q3
19 reports for CAT
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$725.79awaiting T+20——
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$735.64awaiting T+20——
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$735.64awaiting T+20——
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$735.64awaiting T+20——
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$748.98awaiting T+20——
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$876.54 $779.16▼ −11.11%▼ −9.87%—
Jul 21, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$889.97 $840.87▼ −5.52%▼ −8.08%—
May 15, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$863.61 $933.93▲ +8.14%▲ +5.95%—
May 6, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$894.03 $902.61▲ +0.96%▲ +0.14%—
May 6, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$894.03 $902.61▲ +0.96%▲ +0.14%—
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 59m)

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Report published Oct 16, 2026