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8-K ·Filed May 28, 2026

BTU

PEABODY ENERGY CORP
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001193125-26-242965
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor pricing terms (conversion premium, coupon) for signal on cost of capital. The refinancing extends maturities but adds potential dilution; watch for secondary market activity from hedged holders unwinding positions, which could create near-term price volatility. If the conversion premium is set high and coupon low, the market may view this as a credit-positive refinancing.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
BTU ▼ -5.12% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -5.12% · α vs SPY -6.86% · entry $29.10 → $27.61
Entry = T+0 close
May 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-7.04%
call -7.04% · α -7.28%
$27.05
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+7.25%
call +7.25% · α +6.93%
$31.21
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-19.21%
call -19.21% · α -16.06%
$23.51
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-5.12%
call -5.12% · α -6.86%
$27.61
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Peabody Energy announced a proposed $225M offering of convertible senior notes due 2031 (with an underwriter option for an additional $25M), intending to use net proceeds to repurchase a portion of its outstanding 3.250% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 and for general corporate purposes. The refinancing extends maturities and reduces near-term debt pressure, but the new notes introduce potential dilution and the transaction is subject to market conditions.

Key Facts

  • Offering of $225M aggregate principal amount of Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, with an underwriter option for up to an additional $25M.
  • Notes will be senior, unsecured obligations, maturing June 1, 2031, with semi-annual interest payments.
  • Net proceeds to fund capped call transactions and repurchase a portion of the outstanding 3.250% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028.
  • Capped call transactions expected to reduce potential dilution upon conversion prior to May 30, 2030, subject to a cap.
  • Interest rate, initial conversion rate, and other terms to be determined at pricing.
  • Hedged holders of the 2028 Notes may unwind positions by buying common stock, potentially affecting market price.
  • Option counterparties may enter derivative transactions that could influence stock price at and after pricing.

Financial Impact

Up to $250M in new convertible notes (including greenshoe); proceeds used to repurchase up to an undisclosed portion of the $225M+ 2028 Notes. Net dilution impact depends on conversion price and capped call terms, which are not yet set.

debtdilutioninterest expense

Risk Factors

  • Potential dilution from conversion of notes, partially offset by capped calls but subject to cap.
  • Market activity from hedged holders and option counterparties could cause stock price volatility around pricing.
  • Offering is subject to market conditions and may not be completed.
  • Interest rate and conversion terms not yet determined, creating uncertainty in cost of capital.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-242965
Document: d146699dex991.htm0001193125-26-242965
Document: 0001193125-26-242965-index-headers.html0001193125-26-242965
Document: 0001193125-26-242965-index.html0001193125-26-242965
Document: 0001193125-26-242965.txt0001193125-26-242965
13 reports for BTU
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +14.40%May 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BTU — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$23.77awaiting T+60—$22.36 (−5.93%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$29.36awaiting T+60—$22.36 (−23.84%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$24.65awaiting T+60—$22.36 (−9.29%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$20.82 $22.43▼ −7.73%▼ −3.00%$22.36 (−7.40%)
Jul 7, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$22.67 $24.39▲ +7.59%▲ +5.59%$22.36 (−1.37%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$22.20 $25.68▲ +15.68%▲ +12.72%$22.36 (+0.72%)
Jun 15, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$26.03 $29.36▲ +12.79%▲ +11.79%$22.36 (−14.10%)
Jun 2, 2026
20w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$29.62 $27.32▼ −7.76%▼ −8.88%$22.36 (−24.51%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$27.05 $27.90▲ +3.14%▲ +1.96%$22.36 (−17.34%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$29.10 $27.61▼ −5.12%▼ −6.86%$22.36 (−23.16%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 35m)

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Report published May 28, 2026