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8-K ·Filed Nov 3, 2026

BOW

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed1d 10h ago SEC0001628280-26-069082
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The earnings beat on adjusted EPS is overshadowed by the pending acquisition. Monitor the merger proxy filing for stockholder vote timing and regulatory approval updates, as these are the primary catalysts for the stock.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks

How the stock moved after the report

⚠ Clustered NEUTRAL VIEWSTOCK BELOW ENTRY AT T+1
Entry
$34.16
T+0 close · Nov 3, 2026 · via day close
Latest settled
−0.18%
T+1 · $34.10
vs SPY
−1.83%
α at T+1
Next horizon
T+5
in 6d
  1. T+0 · Nov 3 $34.16entry
  2. T+1 · 12h ago −0.18%α −1.83% · $34.10
  3. T+5 · in 6d Pending
  4. T+20 · in 28d Pending
  5. T+60 · in 3mo Pending

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Executive Summary

Bowhead Specialty reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.54, above the $0.51 consensus, and total revenue of $171.8M, below the $178.0M consensus. Gross written premiums grew 10.8% to $256.4M, but net income fell 14.7% YoY to $12.9M due to higher non-operating expenses and interest costs. The results are largely moot given the pending acquisition by American Family Mutual Insurance Company, announced on August 3, 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS (Adj.)
$0.54
est $0.51 · +5.9% · GAAP: $0.38
Revenue
$171.8M
est $178.0M · -3.5% · +19.3% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Adjusted EPS of $0.54 beat consensus of $0.51 by 5.9%.
  • Total revenue of $171.8M missed consensus of $178.0M.
  • Gross written premiums increased 10.8% YoY to $256.4M.
  • Net income declined 14.7% YoY to $12.9M, driven by a $6.1M increase in non-operating expenses and higher interest expense.
  • Combined ratio was 95.9%, up from 95.4% in the prior year quarter.
  • The company is being acquired by American Family Mutual Insurance Company in a pending all-cash merger.
  • No earnings conference call was held due to the pending transaction.

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS beat by $0.03; revenue miss of $6.2M; net income down 14.7% YoY.

epsrevenuenet incomegross written premiums

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Casualty$153.4M+6.0%
Professional Liability$49.5M+8.2%
Healthcare Liability$37.7M+8.1%
Baleen Specialty$15.8M+155.4%

Risk Factors

  • Pending merger may not close due to regulatory or stockholder approval issues.
  • Revenue miss and declining net income could indicate underlying business pressure.
  • Higher loss ratio and combined ratio suggest deteriorating underwriting profitability.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
33% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-069082
Document: bow-20261103.htm0001628280-26-069082
Document: 0001628280-26-069082-index-headers.html0001628280-26-069082
Document: 0001628280-26-069082-index.html0001628280-26-069082
Document: 0001628280-26-069082.txt0001628280-26-069082
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-069082
11 reports for BOW
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 bullish or bearish reports Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +1.84%Aug 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BOW, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Nov 3, 2026
1d ago
SC 13E-3/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.34awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$34.10 (−0.70%)
Nov 3, 2026
1d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.34awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$34.10 (−0.70%)
Nov 3, 2026
1d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.16awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$34.10 (−0.18%)
Oct 14, 2026
21d ago
SC 13E-3/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$33.99awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$34.10 (+0.32%)
Oct 14, 2026
21d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.99awaiting T+20awaiting T+20$34.10 (+0.32%)
Oct 6, 2026
29d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.03 $34.17▲ +0.40%▲ +1.64%$34.10 (+0.21%)
Oct 5, 2026
4w ago
SC 13E-3/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.78 $34.16▲ +1.12%▲ +4.30%$34.10 (+0.95%)
Sep 23, 2026
6w ago
SC 13E-3/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.87 $34.10▲ +0.68%▲ +1.10%$34.10 (+0.68%)
Aug 28, 2026
9w ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.52 $33.77▲ +0.75%▲ +0.93%$34.10 (+1.73%)
Aug 3, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$33.69 $33.52▼ −0.50%▼ −1.74%$34.10 (+1.22%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Thu (< 1m)

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Report published Nov 3, 2026