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SC 13E-3/A ·Filed Oct 14, 2026

BOW

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed12d 16h ago SEC0001140361-26-039517
Going-private transaction amendment
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The filing is a procedural step advancing the going-private merger toward the shareholder vote on November 13, 2026. With the definitive proxy now distributed, the key catalyst is the vote outcome. Monitor for any dissident stockholder activity or appraisal demands that could affect deal closure probability.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
BOW ▲ +0.29% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +0.29% · α vs SPY -0.16% · entry $33.99 → $34.09
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+7 -4.96% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.06%
call +0.06% · α -0.23%
$34.01
settled 12d ago
T+5d
+0.29%
call +0.29% · α -0.16%
$34.09
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

This is Amendment No. 3 to the Schedule 13E-3 filed in connection with the going-private merger of Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. by American Family Mutual Insurance Company. The filing is procedural, incorporating by reference the definitive proxy statement (DEFM14A) filed concurrently, which sets the special meeting for November 13, 2026 to vote on the $34.00 per share cash merger. The transaction remains on track with the Non-Recused Directors unanimously recommending approval, and no material changes to deal terms or conditions are disclosed in this amendment.

Key Facts

  • Amendment No. 3 to Schedule 13E-3 filed concurrently with the definitive proxy statement (DEFM14A) on October 14, 2026.
  • Merger consideration remains $34.00 per share in cash, unchanged from prior filings.
  • Special meeting of stockholders scheduled for November 13, 2026 to vote on the merger.
  • Non-Recused Directors unanimously recommend adoption of the Merger Agreement.
  • Merger requires approval of a majority of all outstanding shares and a majority of shares held by disinterested stockholders (excluding Parent and Recused Directors).
  • As of June 30, 2026, there were 32,943,005 common shares issued and outstanding.
  • Closing expected by year-end 2026, subject to stockholder and regulatory approvals.

Financial Impact

Total enterprise value of approximately $1.2 billion based on $34.00 per share for 32,943,005 shares outstanding.

share priceenterprise value

Risk Factors

  • Risk that stockholders vote against the merger or that sufficient disinterested stockholder approval is not obtained.
  • Risk of appraisal demands from dissenting stockholders seeking a higher valuation through Delaware court proceedings.
  • Regulatory approval conditions remain outstanding and could delay or prevent closing.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13E-3/A Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-039517
Document: 0001140361-26-039517-index-headers.html0001140361-26-039517
Document: 0001140361-26-039517-index.html0001140361-26-039517
Document: 0001140361-26-039517.txt0001140361-26-039517
8 reports for BOW
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +0.75%Aug 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BOW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
SC 13E-3/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$33.99awaiting T+20—$34.14 (+0.44%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.99awaiting T+20—$34.14 (+0.44%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.03awaiting T+20—$34.14 (+0.32%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
SC 13E-3/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.78awaiting T+20—$34.14 (+1.07%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
SC 13E-3/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.87 $34.10▲ +0.68%▲ +1.10%$34.14 (+0.80%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.52 $33.77▲ +0.75%▲ +0.93%$34.14 (+1.85%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$33.69 $33.52▼ −0.50%▼ −1.74%$34.14 (+1.34%)
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$25.57 $22.25▼ −12.98%▼ −5.05%$34.14 (+33.52%)
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published Oct 14, 2026