8-K ·Filed Aug 17, 2026

AXP

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonimmediate Processed1mo ago SEC0000004962-26-000345
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor next quarterly earnings (10-Q) for any trend in net write-off rates, particularly if the July uptick in Consumer write-offs (1.7% vs 1.4% in June) continues. The sale of written-off balances in June was a one-time event; organic credit quality appears stable.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
AXP ▼ -2.51% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -2.51% · α vs SPY -0.98% · entry $336.21 → $327.78
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+32 -8.35% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 17, 12:00 PM ET
via exact tick
T+1d
+0.69%
call +0.69% · α +1.36%
$338.52
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+0.33%
call +0.33% · α +1.52%
$337.33
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-2.51%
call -2.51% · α -0.98%
$327.78
settled 17d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

American Express furnished delinquency and write-off statistics for July 2026, showing stable 30-day past-due rates (U.S. Consumer 1.1%, U.S. Small Business 1.3%) and net write-off rates of 1.7% and 2.6%, respectively. The June sale of previously written-off balances temporarily reduced reported write-off rates by ~0.3% for Consumer and ~0.1% for Small Business. This is a routine monthly credit quality update with no material changes or forward guidance.

Key Facts

  • U.S. Consumer card balances: $113.1B (July), $113.8B (June), $113.8B (May)
  • U.S. Consumer 30+ day delinquency rate: 1.1% for all three months
  • U.S. Consumer net write-off rate (principal only): 1.7% (July), 1.4% (June, reduced by 0.3% from sale), 2.0% (May)
  • U.S. Small Business card balances: $46.1B (July), $45.9B (June), $46.7B (May)
  • U.S. Small Business 30+ day delinquency rate: 1.3% (July), 1.4% (June/May)
  • U.S. Small Business net write-off rate: 2.6% (July), 2.3% (June, reduced by 0.1% from sale), 2.6% (May)
  • Total card balances held for investment: $159.2B (July), $159.7B (June), $160.5B (May)
  • Lending Trust annualized default rate net of recoveries: 1.1% (July), 0.7% (June), 1.2% (May)

Financial Impact

No material financial impact; credit metrics remain within normal ranges

net write-off ratedelinquency ratecard balances

Risk Factors

  • If net write-off rates continue to rise in coming months, it could signal consumer credit stress
  • The June sale of written-off balances artificially lowered reported rates; organic trends may be slightly worse

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (37 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000004962-26-000345
Document: 0000004962-26-000345-index-headers.html0000004962-26-000345
Document: 0000004962-26-000345-index.html0000004962-26-000345
Document: 0000004962-26-000345.txt0000004962-26-000345
31 reports for AXP
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 6 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +11.61%Apr 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AXP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$324.43 $305.07▼ −5.97%▼ −8.09%$303.04 (−6.59%)
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$327.78 $313.59▼ −4.33%▼ −4.44%$303.04 (−7.55%)
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$326.10 $324.43▼ −0.51%▲ +0.61%$303.04 (−7.07%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$339.90 $336.15▲ +1.10%▲ +0.72%$303.04 (+10.85%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$336.21 $337.33▲ +0.33%▲ +1.52%$303.04 (−9.87%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$343.65 $331.15▼ −3.64%▼ −1.67%$303.04 (−11.82%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$348.99 $344.08▼ −1.41%▼ −1.76%$303.04 (−13.17%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$326.17 $337.52▲ +3.48%▲ +3.11%$303.04 (−7.09%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$358.44 $348.74▼ −2.71%▼ −1.73%$303.04 (−15.46%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$358.44 $348.74▼ −2.71%▼ −1.73%$303.04 (−15.46%)
Showing 10 of 31

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