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8-K ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

AXP

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed10d 21h ago SEC0000004962-26-000383
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor next quarterly earnings (10-Q) for any trend in net write-off rates and provisioning, especially if the 30-day past due uptick persists into Q4 2026.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
AXP ▲ +3.60% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +3.60% · α vs SPY +4.61% · entry $313.87 → $325.17
Next anchor: T+20d in 17d
Latest observation: T+6 +1.48% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.09%
call -0.09% · α +1.02%
$313.59
settled 10d ago
T+5d
+3.60%
call +3.60% · α +4.61%
$325.17
settled 4d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 17d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

American Express disclosed preliminary delinquency and write-off statistics for its U.S. Consumer and U.S. Small Business card portfolios for the months ended September 30, August 31, and July 31, 2026. The data shows a slight sequential increase in the 30-day past due rate for both segments and a modest improvement in net write-off rates for U.S. Small Business, while overall credit performance remains stable.

Key Facts

  • U.S. Consumer total card balances: $114.3B as of September 30, 2026
  • U.S. Consumer 30 days past due as % of total: 1.2% in September vs 1.1% in August
  • U.S. Consumer net write-off rate (principal only): 1.5% in September vs 1.7% in August
  • U.S. Small Business total card balances: $46.6B as of September 30, 2026
  • U.S. Small Business 30 days past due as % of total: 1.4% in September vs 1.3% in August
  • U.S. Small Business net write-off rate (principal only): 2.1% in September vs 2.2% in August
  • Total card balances held for investment (U.S. Consumer + Small Business): $160.9B as of September 30, 2026
  • Lending Trust annualized default rate, net of recoveries: 1.0% for September vs 1.1% for July

Financial Impact

No material financial impact disclosed; the filing provides routine monthly credit performance metrics.

delinquency ratesnet write-off ratescard balances

Risk Factors

  • Rising delinquency rates could signal consumer credit stress, potentially leading to higher loan loss provisions.
  • Preliminary data may be subject to revision in subsequent filings.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000004962-26-000383
Document: 0000004962-26-000383-index-headers.html0000004962-26-000383
Document: 0000004962-26-000383-index.html0000004962-26-000383
Document: 0000004962-26-000383.txt0000004962-26-000383
36 reports for AXP
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +11.61%Apr 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AXP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$327.49awaiting T+5—$313.22 (−4.36%)
Oct 15, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$313.87 $325.17▲ +3.60%▲ +4.61%$313.22 (−0.21%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$308.17 $315.32▲ +2.32%▲ +3.77%$313.22 (+1.64%)
Oct 8, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$308.17 $313.59▼ −1.76%▼ −3.73%$313.22 (−1.64%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$302.78 $308.17▲ +1.78%▲ +0.62%$313.22 (+3.45%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$324.43 $305.07▼ −5.97%▼ −8.09%$313.22 (−3.46%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$324.43 $305.07▼ −5.97%▼ −8.08%$313.22 (−3.46%)
Sep 8, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$321.80 $312.43▼ −2.91%▼ −1.82%$313.22 (−2.67%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$331.15 $334.16▼ −0.91%▲ +0.21%$313.22 (+5.41%)
Aug 17, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$336.21 $337.33▲ +0.33%▲ +1.52%$313.22 (−6.84%)
Showing 10 of 36

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Report published Oct 15, 2026