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8-K ·Filed Jul 13, 2026

ASTH

Astrana Health, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed3mo ago SEC0001104659-26-082892
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The filing reinforces Astrana's execution in value-based care, which could support the stock's premium valuation. Monitor upcoming 10-Q for Q2 2026 results to see if the 56% Q1 revenue growth rate sustains and if ACO shared savings flow through to the income statement.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ASTH ▼ -22.33% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -22.33% · α vs SPY -26.33% · entry $47.64 → $37.00
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.85%
call +2.85% · α +2.50%
$49.00
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-5.67%
call -5.67% · α -4.88%
$44.94
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-21.35%
call -21.35% · α -24.53%
$37.47
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-22.33%
call -22.33% · α -26.33%
$37.00
settled 20d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Astrana Health announced its affiliated ACOs generated $120.4 million in gross shared savings in the 2024 performance year, with all eight ACOs achieving net savings. The press release also disclosed FY2025 revenue of $3.18 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $205.4 million, and noted Q1 2026 revenue growth of 56% year-over-year. This is a backward-looking operational update that validates the company's value-based care platform but does not provide new guidance or material forward-looking financials.

Key Facts

  • $120.4 million in gross shared savings from Astrana's eight affiliated ACOs in 2024
  • 100% of ACOs (8 of 8) generated net shared savings
  • Nearly 100,000 Medicare beneficiaries served across the ACOs
  • Astrana Care Partners ACO ranked 7th among 476 MSSP ACOs in net shared savings per beneficiary
  • FY2025 revenue of $3.18 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $205.4 million
  • Q1 2026 revenue grew 56% year-over-year
  • Company supports over 20,000 providers and ~1.55 million patients

Financial Impact

Positive but not quantifiable for the company's direct revenue; the $120.4M is gross shared savings across ACOs, not Astrana's reported revenue. FY2025 figures ($3.18B revenue, $205.4M adjusted EBITDA) are historical and already known.

revenueadjusted EBITDApatient volume

Risk Factors

  • No new forward guidance or quantitative revenue impact from ACO savings provided
  • Historical financials already disclosed — no incremental catalyst for near-term price movement

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Management Consulting Services
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-082892
Document: tm2620233d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-082892
Document: 0001104659-26-082892-index-headers.html0001104659-26-082892
Document: 0001104659-26-082892-index.html0001104659-26-082892
Document: 0001104659-26-082892.txt0001104659-26-082892
7 reports for ASTH
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.34 $37.35▲ +8.77%▲ +8.08%$37.23 (+8.42%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$34.34 $37.35▼ −8.77%▼ −8.08%$37.23 (−8.42%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$38.35 $37.87▼ −1.25%▼ −4.23%$37.23 (−2.92%)
Jul 14, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$47.04 $35.79▼ −23.92%▼ −26.26%$37.23 (−20.85%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$47.64 $37.47▼ −21.35%▼ −24.53%$37.23 (−21.85%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.85 $46.81▲ +17.47%▲ +15.57%$37.23 (−6.57%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.50 $39.16▲ +24.32%▲ +18.95%$37.23 (+18.19%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Jul 13, 2026