Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

ARX

Accelerant Holdings
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $2.7M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sustained C-suite selling, particularly the CEO's recent sale, is a bearish signal that may indicate insiders see limited near-term upside. Traders should monitor for any negative news or guidance changes that could justify this selling. The strong analyst consensus provides a counterweight, but the insider activity suggests a cautious stance.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ARX ▲ +60.69% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -60.69% · α vs SPY -61.29% · entry $12.26 → $19.70
Next anchor: T+60d in 26d
Latest observation: T+38 -61.52% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 4, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.24%
call -0.24% · α -0.40%
$12.29
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+11.01%
call -11.01% · α -10.66%
$13.61
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+60.69%
call -60.69% · α -61.29%
$19.70
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 26d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three insiders at Accelerant Holdings, including CEO Jeffrey Radke and Co-Founder/Chief U/W Officer Francis O'Neill, sold a total of $2.75M in open-market shares over a one-week period. The CEO's sale of $965K on August 3rd is the most recent and notable, occurring after a prior cluster of 9 insider sells totaling $8.1M in the last 30 days. This sustained insider selling pattern, particularly from C-suite executives, suggests a lack of conviction in the stock at current levels, warranting caution despite the company's strong analyst consensus.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$2.8M
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • CEO Jeffrey Radke sold 80,000 shares for $965K on 2026-08-03.
  • Co-Founder/Chief U/W Officer Francis O'Neill sold 104,600 shares for $1.52M on 2026-07-28.
  • COO Matthew Sternberg sold 17,600 shares for $257K on 2026-07-27.
  • Total insider selling in this cluster is $2.75M, representing approximately 0.11% of the $2.6B market cap.
  • This cluster follows 30-day insider selling of $8.1M across 9 transactions.
  • Analyst consensus is 86% bullish (12 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell).

Financial Impact

Insider selling of $2.75M in one week, plus $8.1M over the prior 30 days, totaling ~$10.85M in recent insider sales.

insider_sellingmarket_sentiment

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling may indicate undisclosed negative developments or a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.
  • The selling cluster could be driven by personal liquidity needs or 10b5-1 plans, reducing its predictive value.
  • The stock has historically shown high volatility, with prior reports on ARX having a negative average T+20 alpha of -5.96%.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-ARX-1785889146152
21 reports for ARX
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate 8 of 9 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +43.47%Feb 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.58 $19.83▲ +1.28%▲ +3.27%$19.73 (+0.77%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$19.58 $19.83▼ −1.28%▼ −3.27%$19.73 (−0.77%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$19.51 $19.84▲ +1.69%▲ +3.44%$19.73 (+1.13%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 9/10
$19.51 $19.84▲ +1.69%▲ +3.44%$19.73 (+1.13%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.61 $19.84▲ +45.78%▲ +47.67%$19.73 (+44.97%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$12.26 $19.70▼ −60.69%▼ −61.29%$19.73 (−60.93%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.20 $19.69▲ +75.80%▲ +71.84%$19.73 (+76.16%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.40 $19.67▲ +58.63%▲ +53.61%$19.73 (+59.11%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$14.72 $19.67▼ −33.63%▼ −30.25%$19.73 (−34.04%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.23 $19.59▼ −37.67%▼ −34.04%$19.73 (−38.65%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 39m)

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Report published Aug 5, 2026