8-K ·Filed May 13, 2026

ARX

Accelerant Holdings
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC0001997350-26-000009
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat on adjusted EPS and 57% revenue growth, combined with maintained FY guidance implying 53% fee-based EBITDA growth, should drive positive momentum. Watch for continued third-party premium mix expansion toward 35-40% of exchange volume, which reduces capital intensity and should support margin expansion. The $200M buyback provides downside support.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ARX ▼ -17.59% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -17.59% · α vs SPY -21.18% · entry $14.61 → $12.04
Entry anchored
May 13, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+5.68%
call +5.68% · α +6.91%
$15.44
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+16.29%
call +16.29% · α +17.01%
$16.99
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-10.81%
call -10.81% · α -9.96%
$13.03
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-17.59%
call -17.59% · α -21.18%
$12.04
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Accelerant reported Q1 2026 operating revenue of $273.2M (+57% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of $66.1M (+70% YoY), driven by 16% Exchange Written Premium growth to $1.14B and continued shift to capital-light fee-based segments. GAAP net loss was $4.1M ($0.02/diluted share) due to $32.1M in share-based compensation and $17.7M in other expenses, while adjusted EPS of $0.17 beat the $0.16 consensus. FY2026 guidance was maintained: at least $5.2B Exchange Written Premium and at least $285M adjusted EBITDA.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.17
est $0.16 · +6.3%
Revenue
$273.2M
est $245.0M · +11.5% · +57.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Gross Margin
52.1%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 operating revenue $273.2M, +57% YoY from $174.0M
  • Adjusted EBITDA $66.1M, +70% YoY from $38.8M; margin 24% vs 22%
  • Adjusted EPS $0.17, +113% YoY from $0.08; consensus was $0.16
  • Exchange Written Premium $1.14B, +16% YoY; +22% excluding terminated Canadian member
  • Third-party direct written premium 41% of exchange volume, up from 19% a year ago
  • Fee-based adjusted EBITDA $60M, +112% YoY
  • GAAP net loss $4.1M ($0.02/diluted) vs net income $7.8M a year ago, driven by $32.1M SBC and $17.7M other expenses
  • Repurchased 828,333 shares for $11M under $200M buyback program
  • FY2026 guidance maintained: at least $5.2B exchange written premium, at least $285M adjusted EBITDA
  • Q2 2026 guidance: exchange written premium $1.27B-$1.32B, adjusted EBITDA $60M-$66M

Financial Impact

Operating revenue grew 57% YoY to $273.2M; adjusted EBITDA grew 70% to $66.1M; adjusted EPS of $0.17 beat consensus of $0.16 by 6.3%

operatingRevenueadjustedEbitdaadjustedEpsexchangeWrittenPremium

Risk Factors

  • GAAP net loss persists due to high share-based compensation ($32.1M in Q1 alone)
  • Net revenue retention declined to 116% from 157% a year ago, partly due to a terminated Canadian member
  • Operating cash flow was negative $21.4M in Q1 vs positive $91.8M a year ago, driven by working capital growth
  • Third-party premium mix shift may introduce new counterparty risk as non-Hadron insurers ramp

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001997350-26-000009
Document: a1q2026accelerantpresent.htm0001997350-26-000009
Document: arx-20260513.htm0001997350-26-000009
Document: 0001997350-26-000009-index-headers.html0001997350-26-000009
Document: 0001997350-26-000009-index.html0001997350-26-000009
Document: 0001997350-26-000009.txt0001997350-26-000009
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001997350-26-000009
21 reports for ARX
Performance horizon
78% Hit rate 7 of 9 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +43.47%Feb 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.58 $19.83▲ +1.28%▲ +3.27%$19.73 (+0.77%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$19.58 $19.83▼ −1.28%▼ −3.27%$19.73 (−0.77%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$19.51 $19.84▲ +1.69%▲ +3.44%$19.73 (+1.13%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 9/10
$19.51 $19.84▲ +1.69%▲ +3.44%$19.73 (+1.13%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.61 $19.84▲ +45.78%▲ +47.67%$19.73 (+44.97%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$12.26 $19.70▼ −60.69%▼ −61.29%$19.73 (−60.93%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.20 $19.69▲ +75.80%▲ +71.84%$19.73 (+76.16%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$12.40 $19.67▲ +58.63%▲ +53.61%$19.73 (+59.11%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$14.72 $19.67▼ −33.63%▼ −30.25%$19.73 (−34.04%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.23 $19.59▼ −37.67%▼ −34.04%$19.73 (−38.65%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 36m)

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