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6-K ·Filed Oct 1, 2026

ARCO

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed26d 10h ago SEC0000950103-26-014896
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor the Investor Day webcast and presentation slides for additional details on growth strategy and financial targets. The long-term ambitions are aspirational and not guaranteed; watch for concrete execution milestones in future quarterly reports.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
ARCO ▲ +17.51% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +17.51% · α vs SPY +16.21% · entry $6.91 → $8.12
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 +18.91% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.89%
call +2.89% · α +2.15%
$7.11
settled 25d ago
T+5d
+17.51%
call +17.51% · α +16.21%
$8.12
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arcos Dorados announced its 2026 Investor Day, outlining a long-term growth ambition of mid- to high-single digit annual total revenue growth and high-single to low-double digit annual Adjusted EBITDA growth from 2027 through 2030. The company also plans to open 550 to 600 restaurants and invest $1.3 to $1.5 billion in capital expenditures over that period. This is a forward-looking strategic framework with no current financial results, making it a neutral event with moderate impact.

Key Facts

  • Company to host 2026 Investor Day on October 1, 2026.
  • Long-term ambition: mid- to high-single digit annual total revenue growth.
  • Long-term ambition: high-single to low-double digit annual Adjusted EBITDA growth.
  • Plans to open 550 to 600 restaurants from 2027 through 2030.
  • Plans to invest $1.3 to $1.5 billion in capital expenditures from 2027 through 2030.
  • No reconciliation of forward-looking Adjusted EBITDA growth to GAAP provided.
  • Forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties.

Financial Impact

Capital expenditure program of $1.3 to $1.5 billion over 2027-2030; no current financial results reported.

revenueadjusted EBITDAcapital expenditures

Risk Factors

  • Forward-looking growth ambitions may not be achieved due to economic, competitive, or operational challenges.
  • Capital expenditure program of $1.3-$1.5 billion may strain cash flows if revenue growth falls short.
  • No GAAP reconciliation provided for Adjusted EBITDA growth target, reducing transparency.

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0000950103-26-014896
Document: 0000950103-26-014896-index-headers.html0000950103-26-014896
Document: 0000950103-26-014896-index.html0000950103-26-014896
Document: 0000950103-26-014896.txt0000950103-26-014896
7 reports for ARCO
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +2.73%Apr 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.91 $7.11▲ +2.89%▲ +2.15%$7.00 (+1.30%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.14 $7.91▼ −2.83%▼ −2.63%$7.00 (−14.00%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.14 $7.91▼ −2.83%▼ −2.63%$7.00 (−14.00%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.08 $9.15▲ +0.77%▲ +0.58%$7.00 (−22.91%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.08 $9.15▲ +0.77%▲ +0.58%$7.00 (−22.91%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
20-F
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.78 $8.65▼ −1.48%▼ −1.14%$7.00 (−20.27%)
Mar 26, 2026
30w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$8.00 $7.93▼ −0.88%▼ −0.52%$7.00 (−12.50%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 1, 2026