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6-K ·Filed Aug 13, 2026

ARCO

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0000950103-26-012286
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The record Q2 results and continued deleveraging (net debt/EBITDA at 1.1x, 2029 notes fully redeemed) confirm a strong operational and financial trajectory. Monitor the NOLAD division's negative comparable sales (-2.2%) and the impact of FIFA World Cup marketing tailwinds in the coming quarters. The increased dividend signals management confidence in cash flow generation.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ARCO ▼ -1.60% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.60% · α vs SPY +0.15% · entry $8.14 → $8.01
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+50 +18.99% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.83%
call -2.83% · α -2.63%
$7.91
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-4.18%
call -4.18% · α -2.21%
$7.80
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-1.60%
call -1.60% · α +0.15%
$8.01
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arcos Dorados reported record Q2 2026 results with total revenues of $1.3 billion (up 14.3% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA of $126.8 million (up 15.2%), and net income of $45.0 million ($0.22 EPS, up from $0.11). The company also completed the redemption of its remaining 2029 Senior Notes in July 2026, further deleveraging the balance sheet. Combined with the prior 20-F annual report showing record FY2025 results, this filing confirms a strong operational and financial trajectory.

Key Facts

  • Total revenues of $1.3 billion in Q2 2026, up 14.3% YoY, the highest quarterly revenues in company history.
  • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of $126.8 million, up 15.2% YoY, also a Q2 record.
  • Net income of $45.0 million ($0.22 EPS) doubled from $22.6 million ($0.11 EPS) in Q2 2025.
  • Systemwide comparable sales rose 15.3% in Q2 2026, driven by the best guest volume performance in six quarters.
  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow over the last twelve months reached $143.4 million, up from $16.1 million in the prior comparable period.
  • Net debt to Adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio improved to 1.1x at Q2 2026 from 1.2x at year-end 2025.
  • On July 16, 2026, the company completed the redemption of all remaining 2029 Sustainability-Linked Senior Notes.
  • Digital channel sales represented 66% of systemwide sales in Q2 2026, up about 25% YoY.
  • The company opened 16 new restaurants in Q2 2026, bringing total to 2,548.
  • Quarterly dividend increased to $0.28 per share for 2026, up from $0.24 per share in 2025.

Financial Impact

Q2 2026 revenues of $1.3B (up 14.3% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA of $126.8M (up 15.2%), net income of $45.0M (up 99.3%), EPS of $0.22 (up 100%). LTM Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $143.4M (up from $16.1M). Net debt/EBITDA leverage at 1.1x.

revenueepsebitdafree cash flowleverage

Risk Factors

  • NOLAD division saw negative comparable sales of -2.2% in Q2 2026, down from +4.4% in Q2 2025.
  • Currency volatility in Latin America, particularly in Argentina (highly inflationary) and Venezuela, could impact reported results.
  • Consumer spending dynamics remain challenging across the region, as noted by management.
  • Contingent tax liabilities in Brazil of $46.96 million and other legal contingencies represent potential cash outflows.
  • The company operates under Master Franchise Agreements with McDonald's Corporation, creating dependency on that relationship.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 9 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (ARCO) — Batch item 10000950103-26-012286
Document: 0000950103-26-012286-index-headers.html0001628280-26-056473
Document: 0000950103-26-012286-index.html0000950103-26-012286
Document: 0000950103-26-012286.txt0000950103-26-012286
6-K Filing (ARCO) — Batch item 50001628280-26-056473
Document: 0001628280-26-056473-index-headers.html0000950103-26-012286
Document: 0001628280-26-056473-index.html0000950103-26-012286
Document: 0001628280-26-056473.txt0000950103-26-012286
6-K Filing (ARCO) — Batch item 90000950103-26-012286
7 reports for ARCO
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +2.73%Apr 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.91 $7.11▲ +2.89%▲ +2.15%$7.00 (+1.30%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.14 $7.91▼ −2.83%▼ −2.63%$7.00 (−14.00%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.14 $7.91▼ −2.83%▼ −2.63%$7.00 (−14.00%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.08 $9.15▲ +0.77%▲ +0.58%$7.00 (−22.91%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.08 $9.15▲ +0.77%▲ +0.58%$7.00 (−22.91%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
20-F
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.78 $8.65▼ −1.48%▼ −1.14%$7.00 (−20.27%)
Mar 26, 2026
30w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$8.00 $7.93▼ −0.88%▼ −0.52%$7.00 (−12.50%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Aug 13, 2026