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6-K ·Filed Aug 13, 2026

ARCO

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-056473
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong operational momentum and aggressive deleveraging make ARCO an attractive long position. The July 2026 redemption of the 2029 Notes removes near-term refinancing risk and improves credit metrics. Monitor the Q3 2026 6-K for continued revenue growth trajectory and any update on the Brazilian tax contingency exposure, which remains a potential overhang.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ARCO ▼ -1.60% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.60% · α vs SPY +0.15% · entry $8.14 → $8.01
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+50 +18.99% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.83%
call -2.83% · α -2.63%
$7.91
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-4.18%
call -4.18% · α -2.21%
$7.80
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-1.60%
call -1.60% · α +0.15%
$8.01
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arcos Dorados reported strong H1 2026 results with total revenues of $2.52 billion (up 13.6% YoY), net income of $81.1 million (up 122% YoY), and Adjusted EBITDA of $244.8 million (up 21.6% YoY). The company also completed a significant deleveraging event by redeeming its remaining 2029 Notes in July 2026, reducing total debt. The results continue the record performance trajectory from the full-year 2025 annual report, with broad-based strength across all three geographic segments, particularly Brazil where revenues grew 21.6% YoY.

Key Facts

  • Total revenues for H1 2026 were $2.52 billion, up 13.6% from $2.22 billion in H1 2025.
  • Net income attributable to Arcos Dorados was $81.1 million, up 122% from $36.5 million in H1 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $244.8 million, up 21.6% from $201.4 million in H1 2025.
  • Brazil segment revenues grew 21.6% YoY to $992.1 million, with Adjusted EBITDA up 32.4% to $135.8 million.
  • The company redeemed the remaining $192.9 million of its 2029 Notes in July 2026, funded by subsidiary financing, further deleveraging the balance sheet.
  • Total long-term debt decreased to $992.5 million as of June 30, 2026, from $1.14 billion at year-end 2025.
  • The company declared a $0.28 per share annual dividend for 2026, payable in quarterly installments of $0.07.
  • Operating cash flow more than doubled to $123.5 million in H1 2026 from $57.7 million in H1 2025.
  • The company maintained strong compliance with all debt covenants, with a leverage ratio of 3.11x vs. a maximum of 4.25x under the Master Franchise Agreements.
  • Provision for contingencies increased to $58.0 million from $50.9 million, with potential tax and labor exposures in Brazil ranging from $450 million to $489 million.

Financial Impact

H1 2026 revenue growth of $302.7 million YoY (+13.6%), net income growth of $44.6 million YoY (+122%), and debt reduction of $145.2 million from year-end 2025.

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAdebtoperating cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Brazilian tax and labor contingencies with a potential loss range of $450 million to $489 million remain a significant overhang.
  • Currency restrictions in Argentina and Venezuela limit cash repatriation and expose the company to FX volatility.
  • The Master Franchise Agreements require compliance with financial covenants (leverage ratio ≤ 4.25x, fixed charge coverage ≥ 1.50x); any breach could trigger McDonald's right to acquire the business.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-056473
Document: 0001628280-26-056473-index-headers.html0001628280-26-056473
Document: 0001628280-26-056473-index.html0001628280-26-056473
Document: 0001628280-26-056473.txt0001628280-26-056473
7 reports for ARCO
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +2.73%Apr 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.91 $7.11▲ +2.89%▲ +2.15%$7.00 (+1.30%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.14 $7.91▼ −2.83%▼ −2.63%$7.00 (−14.00%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.14 $7.91▼ −2.83%▼ −2.63%$7.00 (−14.00%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.08 $9.15▲ +0.77%▲ +0.58%$7.00 (−22.91%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$9.08 $9.15▲ +0.77%▲ +0.58%$7.00 (−22.91%)
Apr 30, 2026
25w ago
20-F
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.78 $8.65▼ −1.48%▼ −1.14%$7.00 (−20.27%)
Mar 26, 2026
30w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$8.00 $7.93▼ −0.88%▼ −0.52%$7.00 (−12.50%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Aug 13, 2026