PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

AGI

Alamos Gold Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The EPS beat is positive but the guidance cuts on production and costs are more significant for forward valuation. Monitor Young-Davidson recovery and H2 2026 operational performance; the stock may trade down on the guidance revision despite the headline beat. The Island Gold District ramp remains a key catalyst for 2027.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
AGI ▲ +33.38% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +33.38% · α vs SPY +29.41% · entry $28.40 → $37.88
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 +36.77% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.01%
call -2.01% · α -2.71%
$27.83
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+9.51%
call +9.51% · α +5.88%
$31.10
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+33.38%
call +33.38% · α +29.41%
$37.88
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Alamos Gold reported Q2 2026 EPS of $0.55, a 4.3% beat vs consensus of $0.53, and revenue of $594.1M (above $587.8M consensus). However, the company lowered full-year production guidance to 510k-560k ounces (from 570k-650k) and raised AISC guidance to $1,775-$1,875/oz (from $1,500-$1,600), driven by a seismic event at Young-Davidson and cost inflation. The beat is overshadowed by the guidance cuts, making this a mixed report with a bearish tilt on forward operations.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.55
est $0.53 · +3.8%
Revenue
$594.1M
est $587.8M · +1.1% · +35.6% YoY
Rating
beat
Free Cash Flow
$143.5M

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 EPS $0.55 vs consensus $0.53 (4.3% beat)
  • Q2 2026 revenue $594.1M vs consensus $587.8M
  • Full-year production guidance lowered to 510k-560k oz from 570k-650k oz
  • Full-year AISC guidance raised to $1,775-$1,875/oz from $1,500-$1,600/oz
  • Young-Davidson production impacted by seismic event; mining rates expected to average ~5,000 tpd in H2 2026
  • Free cash flow of $143.5M in Q2; $50M in share buybacks completed
  • Island Gold District record production of 67,500 oz; Magino mill rates reached 8,862 tpd

Financial Impact

EPS beat of $0.02 (4.3%) vs consensus; revenue beat of $6.3M (1.1%) vs consensus; full-year production cut of 60k-90k oz; AISC increase of $275/oz at midpoint

epsrevenueproduction guidanceall-in sustaining costs

Risk Factors

  • Young-Davidson seismic event may further impact production and costs beyond current guidance
  • Higher AISC and lower production could compress margins if gold prices decline
  • Execution risk on Lynn Lake and PDA growth projects with $885-$975M capital spend in 2026

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3335649
16 reports for AGI
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AGI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.61 $33.04▼ −9.75%▼ −9.56%$32.46 (−11.34%)
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$33.19 $36.45▲ +9.82%▲ +10.74%$32.46 (−2.20%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$28.40 $37.88▼ −33.38%▼ −29.41%$32.46 (−14.30%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$28.40 $37.88▲ +33.38%▲ +29.41%$32.46 (+14.30%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$30.31 $28.58▼ −5.71%▼ −3.52%$32.46 (+7.09%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$35.20 $29.46▼ −16.31%▼ −18.09%$32.46 (−7.78%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$40.80 $30.74▼ −24.66%▼ −22.86%$32.46 (−20.44%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$40.80 $30.74▼ −24.66%▼ −22.86%$32.46 (−20.44%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.52 $31.32▼ −20.75%▼ −17.60%$32.46 (−17.86%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.52 $31.32▼ −20.75%▼ −17.60%$32.46 (−17.86%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (63h 48m)

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Report published Jul 29, 2026