The cluster is dominated by one large seller (Bank of New York Mellon) offsetting broad-based buying from 10 smaller funds. Without insider corroboration, the net negative flow suggests caution. Monitor for any follow-up 13D filings or insider buying to confirm a bullish thesis.
Executive Summary
An institutional cluster in AGI (Alamos Gold) for 2026-Q2 shows 10 buyers accumulating $42.6M in holdings (net +$7.2M) vs. 4 sellers trimming $53.9M, led by a massive $49M trim from Bank of New York Mellon. The net selling pressure (-$46.7M) and lack of insider buying (confluence score 33/100, institutions-only) suggest the cluster is a mixed signal despite the buyer count.
Key Financial Metrics
Institutional Positions
Net institutional flow: -$46.7M
▲ Buyers (10)
| Institution | Action | Change | Position Value | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eurizon Capital Sgr S.p.a. | DOUBLED | +290.9% | $3.4M | $2.2M |
| Walleye Capital | DOUBLED | +408.5% | $5.2M | $3.7M |
| Imc-Chicago | ADD | +97.6% | $4.4M | $1.1M |
| Citigroup | ADD | +60.9% | $5.9M | $534.0K |
| Russell Investments Group | ADD | +40.9% | $12.4M | -$99.5K |
▼ Sellers (4)
| Institution | Action | Change | Prev Value | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of New York Mellon | TRIM | -56% | $70.1M | -$49.1M |
| Hightower Advisors | TRIM | -47.1% | $3.6M | -$2.3M |
| Commonwealth Equity Services | TRIM | -45.9% | $3.0M | -$1.9M |
| Principal Financial Group | TRIM | -48.1% | $1.1M | -$678.3K |
Key Facts
- 10 institutional buyers added $7.2M net, with Eurizon Capital (+$2.2M), Walleye Capital (+$3.7M), and IMC-Chicago (+$1.1M) leading.
- 4 institutional sellers trimmed $53.9M, including Bank of New York Mellon (-$49.1M), Hightower Advisors (-$2.3M), and Commonwealth Equity (-$1.9M).
- Net institutional flow is negative at -$46.7M, driven by one large seller.
- No open-market insider buying was detected in the window (confluence score 33/100, institutions-only).
- Historical performance on AGI reports is poor: 13% win rate at T+20 with avg alpha -12.99%.
- Score calibration shows score-5 reports have 49% observed up-move probability at T+20, with avg net alpha +0.37% across the segment.
Financial Impact
10 institutions accumulated $42.6M in new holdings (net +$7.2M) while 4 sellers reduced positions by $53.9M, resulting in a net outflow of -$46.7M.
Risk Factors
- 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound.
- One large seller (BNY Mellon) accounts for most of the net outflow, skewing the aggregate signal.
- No insider buying to corroborate institutional conviction.
- Historical AGI reports show poor predictive power (13% win rate at T+20).
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic) | inst-cluster-AGI-2026-Q2 |
Track record builds as more directional reports settle.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug 31, 2026 4w ago | 6-K | $36.61 $33.04 | ▼ −9.75% | ▼ −9.56% | — |
Aug 8, 2026 7w ago | Institutional Cluster | $33.19 $36.45 | ▲ +9.82% | ▲ +10.74% | — |
Jul 30, 2026 9w ago | 6-K | $28.40 $37.88 | ▼ −33.38% | ▼ −29.41% | — |
Jul 29, 2026 9w ago | Press Release | $28.40 $37.88 | ▲ +33.38% | ▲ +29.41% | — |
Jun 30, 2026 13w ago | 6-K | $30.31 $28.58 | ▼ −5.71% | ▼ −3.52% | — |
Jun 11, 2026 16w ago | Institutional Cluster | $35.20 $29.46 | ▼ −16.31% | ▼ −18.09% | — |
May 28, 2026 18w ago | 6-K | $40.80 $30.74 | ▼ −24.66% | ▼ −22.86% | — |
May 28, 2026 18w ago | Press Release | $40.80 $30.74 | ▼ −24.66% | ▼ −22.86% | — |
May 28, 2026 18w ago | 6-K | $39.52 $31.32 | ▼ −20.75% | ▼ −17.60% | — |
May 28, 2026 18w ago | Press Release | $39.52 $31.32 | ▼ −20.75% | ▼ −17.60% | — |
US Market Status
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