Institutional Cluster

AG

FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 6 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster is dominated by active managers on both sides, but the net selling pressure and lack of insider buying suggest caution. Monitor for any fundamental catalyst (silver price moves, production updates) that could resolve the mixed signals. The historical poor T+20 performance on AG reports warrants a lower conviction on this cluster as a standalone signal.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
AG ▲ +10.08% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +10.08% · α vs SPY +10.99% · entry $18.85 → $20.75
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+37 +35.93% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 8, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.58%
call +0.58% · α +0.90%
$18.96
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+3.82%
call +3.82% · α +3.87%
$19.57
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+10.08%
call +10.08% · α +10.99%
$20.75
settled 28d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 4w

Executive Summary

Institutional cluster for First Majestic Silver (AG) in Q2 2026 shows a mixed signal: 4 buyers added $13.7M in net new positions (led by Citigroup's $12.6M increase), while 6 sellers reduced holdings by $34.4M (led by IMC-Chicago's $12.9M trim and Walleye Trading's $10.2M trim). The net selling pressure of ~$20.7M and the absence of open-market insider buying weaken the bullish case, despite Citigroup's large new position. Historical calibration on AG reports shows poor T+20 performance (avg -3.02%, 38% win rate), and the score-6/7 cells have negative net alpha, suggesting caution on over-scoring this cluster as a strong directional signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$16.8M
Sell Value
$34.4M
Net Flow
-$20.7M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$20.7M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
CitigroupDOUBLED+1452.6%$13.7M$12.6M
Envestnet Asset ManagementDOUBLED+173.6%$1.1M$616.0K
Td Waterhouse CanadaDOUBLED+142.6%$859.0K$399.0K
Hightower AdvisorsADD+45.8%$1.1M$143.0K

▼ Sellers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Imc-ChicagoTRIM-26%$31.0M-$12.9M
Walleye TradingTRIM-59.5%$14.9M-$10.2M
Walleye CapitalNEAR_EXIT-96.2%$6.4M-$6.2M
Russell Investments GroupTRIM-70.4%$3.8M-$2.9M
Erste Asset ManagementNEAR_EXIT-96.9%$2.2M-$2.1M
Farther Finance AdvisorsTRIM-61.2%$113.0K-$79.5K

Key Facts

  • 4 institutional buyers added $13.7M in net new positions during Q2 2026
  • 6 institutional sellers reduced holdings by $34.4M, creating net selling pressure of ~$20.7M
  • Citigroup doubled its stake by 1,452.6% to $13.7M, the largest buyer
  • IMC-Chicago trimmed 26% of its position, selling $12.9M worth of shares
  • No open-market insider buying was detected in the same window (confluence score 28/100)
  • Historical AG reports show avg T+20 return of -3.02% with only 38% win rate

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of ~$20.7M in Q2 2026, with $16.8M in total buyer holdings vs $34.4M in total seller reductions

institutional ownershipfloat turnover

Risk Factors

  • Net selling pressure of ~$20.7M may indicate institutional de-risking ahead of a catalyst
  • No insider buying corroboration weakens the bullish thesis from Citigroup's large addition
  • Historical AG reports show poor T+20 performance (avg -3.02%, 38% win rate)
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-AG-2026-Q2
10 reports for AG
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate 3 of 5 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +38.56%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$21.18 $18.33▼ −13.46%▼ −12.36%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.99 $21.20▲ +1.00%▲ +1.12%—
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$18.85 $19.57▲ +3.82%▲ +3.87%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$15.69 $17.28▲ +10.13%▲ +6.51%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$15.69 $17.28▲ +10.13%▲ +6.51%—
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$15.80 $16.93▲ +7.15%▲ +6.29%—
May 12, 2026
20w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.21 $19.73▼ −18.50%▼ −18.58%—
Apr 9, 2026
25w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$20.59 $21.05▲ +2.23%▼ −0.95%—
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.84 $20.58▼ −5.77%▼ −9.39%—
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.65 $21.26▲ +8.19%▲ +3.89%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 24m)

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Report published Aug 8, 2026