6-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

AG

FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-050781
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The raised guidance and strong cash flow generation reinforce the company's operational momentum, but historical T+20 performance on AG shows bullish calls on this ticker have not been rewarded (25% win rate, avg -9.18% return). Monitor for any adverse developments in the Mexico tax disputes ($1.28B in reassessments) and trade policy shifts that could impact costs. The Jerritt Canyon restart adds execution risk and capital intensity.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
AG ▲ +38.56% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +38.56% · α vs SPY +34.59% · entry $15.69 → $21.74
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 +33.70% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 30, 07:00 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-4.21%
call -4.21% · α -4.91%
$15.03
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+10.13%
call +10.13% · α +6.51%
$17.28
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+38.56%
call +38.56% · α +34.59%
$21.74
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

First Majestic Silver reported a strong Q2 2026 beat: revenue of $415.5M (+57% YoY), net earnings of $125.9M (+123% YoY), and EPS of $0.22. The company raised its 2026 production guidance by 10% for silver (14.6–15.5M oz) and 7% for gold (128–135k oz), while also increasing capital expenditure guidance to $318–344M, primarily for the Jerritt Canyon restart and other growth initiatives. Cash and equivalents stood at $1.09B with working capital of $876M, both record levels.

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue $415.5M, up 57% YoY from $264.2M
  • Net earnings $125.9M, up 123% from $56.6M; EPS $0.22 vs $0.11
  • Mine operating earnings $223.6M, up 353% from $49.4M
  • Raised 2026 attributable production guidance: silver 14.6–15.5M oz (+10%), gold 128–135k oz (+7%)
  • Cash and cash equivalents $1,093.3M; working capital $876.0M
  • Completed sale of Del Toro Silver Mine on June 19, 2026
  • Announced definitive agreement to sell San Martin mine for $90M total cash consideration
  • Springpole Silver Stream received positive federal Environmental Assessment Decision Statement
  • Capital expenditure guidance increased to $318–344M (from $213–236M) including Jerritt Canyon restart ($75M)

Financial Impact

Revenue increased $151.3M YoY driven by 90% higher realized silver price and 40% higher gold price, partially offset by lower ounces sold. Mine operating earnings expanded by $174.2M. Net earnings increased $69.3M YoY.

revenuenet earningsEPSmine operating earningsoperating cash flowcash and cash equivalentsworking capital

Risk Factors

  • Mexico tax reassessments totaling $1.28B (Primero, La Encantada, San Martin, La Parrilla, Del Toro, CFM) — company is defending through domestic and international legal channels
  • Regulatory changes in Mexico (mining law amendments, judiciary reform) could impact operations and permitting
  • Evolving US trade policy and tariffs on Canada/Mexico could disrupt supply chains and increase costs
  • Execution risk on Jerritt Canyon restart with $75M capital allocation and planned H2 2027 production resumption

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-050781
Document: ag-2026q2mdaxex992.htm0001628280-26-050781
10 reports for AG
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +38.56%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$21.18 $18.33▼ −13.46%▼ −12.36%$17.68 (−16.50%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.99 $21.20▲ +1.00%▲ +1.12%$17.68 (−15.75%)
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$18.85 $19.57▲ +3.82%▲ +3.87%$17.68 (−6.18%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$15.69 $17.28▲ +10.13%▲ +6.51%$17.68 (+12.72%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$15.69 $17.28▲ +10.13%▲ +6.51%$17.68 (+12.72%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$15.80 $16.93▲ +7.15%▲ +6.29%$17.68 (+11.93%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$24.21 $19.73▼ −18.50%▼ −18.58%$17.68 (−26.95%)
Apr 9, 2026
25w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$20.59 $21.05▲ +2.23%▼ −0.95%$17.68 (−14.11%)
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$21.84 $20.58▼ −5.77%▼ −9.39%$17.68 (−19.02%)
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.65 $21.26▲ +8.19%▲ +3.89%$17.68 (−10.00%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 21m)

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