Institutional Cluster

AES

AES CORP
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 6 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster is directionally ambiguous: the breadth of small accumulators suggests a value or turnaround thesis, but the massive exit by Assenagon and lack of insider buying caution against reading it as a strong buy signal. Monitor next earnings for fundamental catalysts; the 0% analyst bullishness means any positive surprise could trigger a re-rating.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
AES ▼ -0.54% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -0.54% · α vs SPY -3.10% · entry $14.82 → $14.74
Next anchor: T+60d in 12d
Latest observation: T+50 -0.35% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 20, 04:04 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.27%
call +0.27% · α +0.39%
$14.86
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+0.07%
call +0.07% · α +1.30%
$14.83
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-0.54%
call -0.54% · α -3.10%
$14.74
settled 6w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 12d

Executive Summary

AES CORP saw a mixed institutional cluster in 2026-Q2: 6 smaller active managers added or doubled positions totaling $5.2M in net buying, while one large asset manager, Assenagon, fully exited a $22.4M stake. The net dollar flow is negative (-$17.2M) due to the outsized exit, but the breadth of small buyers suggests selective conviction among active managers. The stock has 0% analyst bullishness and a $10.5B market cap, indicating a contrarian or value-oriented thesis among the accumulating funds, though the lack of insider buying weakens the signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$11.6M
Sell Value
$22.4M
Net Flow
-$17.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$17.2M

▲ Buyers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Commonwealth Of Pennsylvania Public SchoolDOUBLED+125.8%$5.5M$3.2M
Wealth Enhancement Advisory ServicesADD+49.4%$4.0M$1.3M
Sequoia Financial AdvisorsDOUBLED+125.3%$837.0K$480.0K
Merit Financial GroupADD+26.6%$669.0K$161.0K
Farther Finance AdvisorsADD+31.9%$371.0K$99.0K
Davenport & CoADD+25%$220.0K$51.0K

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementEXIT-100%$22.4M-$22.4M

Key Facts

  • 6 institutions added or doubled positions totaling $5.2M in new buying
  • 1 institution (Assenagon Asset Management) fully exited a $22.4M stake
  • Net dollar flow across the cluster is negative -$17.2M due to the large exit
  • No open-market insider buying was detected in the window (confluence score 32/100)
  • Analyst consensus is 0% bullish with 13 holds, 4 sells, and 1 strong sell

Financial Impact

6 institutions accumulated $5.2M in new positions while 1 institution reduced holdings by $22.4M, resulting in a net negative flow of -$17.2M

institutional ownershipnet dollar flow

Risk Factors

  • The 45-day 13F reporting lag means positions may have already been unwound
  • The large exit by Assenagon could signal fundamental concerns not yet public
  • No insider buying corroborates the institutional accumulation, weakening conviction
  • Analyst consensus is heavily bearish with 0% bullish ratings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Cogeneration Services & Small Power Producers
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-AES-2026-Q2
11 reports for AES
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +4.80%Mar 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AES — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$14.82 $14.74▼ −0.54%▼ −3.10%—
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.63 $14.84▲ +1.44%▲ +1.71%—
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.70 $14.80▼ −0.68%▲ +0.48%—
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.68 $14.76▲ +0.55%▲ +1.29%—
May 4, 2026
21w ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$14.37 $14.68▲ +2.16%▼ −2.80%—
Apr 16, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.32 $14.43▲ +0.74%▼ −5.07%—
Mar 20, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.91 $14.44▲ +3.82%▼ −3.60%—
Mar 11, 2026
29w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.05 $14.39▲ +2.44%▲ +0.47%—
Mar 3, 2026
30w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.12 $14.20▲ +0.60%▲ +5.01%—
Mar 2, 2026
30w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 9/10
$14.01 $14.09▲ +0.59%▲ +4.99%—
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published Jul 21, 2026