8-K ·Filed Jun 26, 2026

AES

AES CORP
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001140361-26-026562
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The shareholder vote approval and HSR clearance remove two major deal risks. The stock should trade near the $15.00 offer price with a small spread reflecting remaining regulatory approvals. Monitor for any regulatory pushback from state or foreign authorities that could delay or reprice the deal.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AES ▲ +1.30% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.30% · α vs SPY -3.09% · entry $14.63 → $14.82
Entry anchored
Jun 26, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.21%
call +0.21% · α -0.57%
$14.66
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.41%
call -0.41% · α -1.80%
$14.57
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+1.44%
call +1.44% · α +1.71%
$14.84
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+1.30%
call +1.30% · α -3.09%
$14.82
settled 10d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AES stockholders voted overwhelmingly to approve the $15.00 per share cash acquisition by a consortium led by Global Infrastructure Partners (BlackRock) and EQT. The HSR Act waiting period has expired, clearing a key antitrust hurdle, though the deal still requires other regulatory approvals and is expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027.

Key Facts

  • Stockholders approved the merger agreement with 479,072,642 votes for, 10,131,991 against, and 506,143 abstentions (97.92% of votes cast in favor).
  • Acquisition price is $15.00 per share in cash, representing a total equity value of approximately $10.7 billion and an enterprise value of approximately $33.4 billion.
  • HSR Act waiting period expired on June 22, 2026, satisfying one key closing condition.
  • Transaction expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027, subject to remaining federal, state, and foreign regulatory approvals.

Financial Impact

Total enterprise value of approximately $33.4 billion, including assumption of debt; $15.00 per share cash consideration to common stockholders.

share priceenterpriseValueequityValue

Risk Factors

  • Remaining federal, state, and foreign regulatory approvals may delay or block closing.
  • Appeal or litigation challenging the transaction could create uncertainty.
  • Financing or market conditions could impede the consortium's ability to close.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Cogeneration Services & Small Power Producers
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-026562
Document: ef20076870_ex99-1.htm0001140361-26-026562
Document: 0001140361-26-026562-index-headers.html0001140361-26-026562
Document: 0001140361-26-026562-index.html0001140361-26-026562
Document: 0001140361-26-026562.txt0001140361-26-026562
11 reports for AES
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +4.80%Mar 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AES — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$14.82 $14.74▼ −0.54%▼ −3.10%$14.93 (+0.74%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.63 $14.84▲ +1.44%▲ +1.71%$14.93 (+2.05%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.70 $14.80▼ −0.68%▲ +0.48%$14.93 (−1.56%)
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.68 $14.76▲ +0.55%▲ +1.29%$14.93 (+1.70%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$14.37 $14.68▲ +2.16%▼ −2.80%$14.93 (+3.90%)
Apr 16, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.32 $14.43▲ +0.74%▼ −5.07%$14.93 (+4.24%)
Mar 20, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.91 $14.44▲ +3.82%▼ −3.60%$14.93 (+7.34%)
Mar 11, 2026
29w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.05 $14.39▲ +2.44%▲ +0.47%$14.93 (+6.29%)
Mar 3, 2026
30w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.12 $14.20▲ +0.60%▲ +5.01%$14.93 (+5.77%)
Mar 2, 2026
30w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 9/10
$14.01 $14.09▲ +0.59%▲ +4.99%$14.93 (+6.59%)
Showing 10 of 11

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