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8-K ·Filed May 12, 2026

ADGM

Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-059026
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The positive FULCRUM-VT data is a major derisking event for ADGM's vCLAS PMA submission. Expect stock to react favorably, but monitor cash runway and potential near-term capital raise given ~$12.9M cash. Next catalyst: PMA submission timeline and FDA acceptance.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ADGM ▼ -20.69% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -20.69% · α vs SPY -25.08% · entry $0.9230 → $0.7320
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.38%
call -2.38% · α -2.96%
$0.9010
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-4.33%
call -4.33% · α -4.41%
$0.8830
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-18.31%
call -18.31% · α -16.58%
$0.7540
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-20.69%
call -20.69% · α -25.08%
$0.7320
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Adagio Medical reported Q1 2026 net loss of $7.0M ($0.31/share), beating the Street consensus of $0.36/share loss, with no revenue. The key catalyst is the positive FULCRUM-VT pivotal trial data presented at HRS 2026, showing 84% freedom from ICD shock and a favorable safety profile, advancing the PMA submission. Cash stands at $12.9M, with potential for $31M additional warrant proceeds.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.31
est −$0.36 · +13.9%
Revenue
$0.00
est $0.00 · 0.0%
Rating
beat

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net loss of $7.0M vs $7.7M a year ago; EPS of $0.31 beat consensus of $0.36 loss
  • Zero revenue; pre-revenue clinical-stage medtech
  • FULCRUM-VT pivotal trial results: 84% freedom from ICD shock at 6 months, 2.4% major adverse events
  • FDA IDE approval for next-gen vCLAS Ultra catheter trial
  • Cash and equivalents $12.9M as of March 31, 2026, down from $17.1M at year-end
  • Potential $31M additional gross proceeds from milestone-based warrant exercises

Financial Impact

Net loss improved 9.3% YoY to $7.0M; EPS beat by 13.9% vs consensus; cash burn ~$4.2M per quarter

net losscashEPS

Risk Factors

  • Pre-revenue with no approved products in the US; reliance on successful PMA and commercialization
  • Cash burn rate may require dilutive financing within 2-3 quarters
  • Clinical data still subject to FDA review; potential for regulatory setbacks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-059026
Document: tm2614299d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-059026
Document: 0001104659-26-059026-index-headers.html0001104659-26-059026
Document: 0001104659-26-059026-index.html0001104659-26-059026
Document: 0001104659-26-059026.txt0001104659-26-059026
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-059026
10 reports for ADGM
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +49.43%Sep 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ADGM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
DEF 14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1253 $0.1208▼ −3.59%▼ −2.44%$0.1030 (−17.80%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1531 $0.1300▲ +15.09%▲ +16.25%$0.1030 (+32.72%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2280 $0.1530▲ +32.89%▲ +32.22%$0.1030 (+54.82%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7190 $0.6460▲ +10.15%▲ +9.75%$0.1030 (+85.67%)
Jul 13, 2026
15w ago
10-K/A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.5710 $0.5300▼ −7.18%▼ −6.40%$0.1030 (−81.96%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.8410 $0.7699▼ −8.45%▼ −10.13%$0.1030 (−87.75%)
May 12, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.9230 $0.8830▼ −4.33%▼ −4.41%$0.1030 (−88.84%)
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$1.15 $0.9410▼ −18.17%▼ −18.57%$0.1030 (−91.04%)
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.41 $1.43▲ +1.42%▼ −2.10%$0.1030 (−92.70%)
Apr 6, 2026
29w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.25 $1.33▼ −6.40%▼ −2.27%$0.1030 (+91.76%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 36m)

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Report published May 12, 2026