Institutional Cluster

AA

Alcoa Corp
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 2 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong net buying from high-conviction investors like Fidelity and Norges Bank suggests growing institutional confidence in Alcoa’s fundamentals or sector outlook. Traders should monitor for follow-through buying and potential upward pressure on the stock, especially if aluminum prices or earnings support the thesis.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AA ▲ +16.40% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +16.40% · α vs SPY +7.07% · entry $64.07 → $74.57
Entry anchored
Feb 27, 04:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.39%
call -0.39% · α +0.52%
$63.82
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-4.79%
call -4.79% · α -3.58%
$61.00
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-1.79%
call -1.79% · α +6.14%
$62.92
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+16.40%
call +16.40% · α +7.07%
$74.57
settled 4mo ago

Executive Summary

In Q4 2025, a significant institutional cluster emerged in Alcoa Corp (AA), with five major institutions collectively adding $330.1M in new positions, led by Fidelity doubling its stake to $262.1M. This buying was partially offset by two large sellers, including BofA trimming $54.4M and RenTech fully exiting, resulting in net institutional accumulation signaling renewed confidence in the stock.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$330.1M
Sell Value
$57.1M
Net Flow
$273.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $273.0M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
FidelityDOUBLED+1940%$262.1M$254.2M
Norges BankNEW+0%$67.6M$67.6M
Wells FargoADD+40%$13.6M$7.6M
Two SigmaDOUBLED+112.8%$1.0M$735.0K
DuquesneNEW+0%$73.0K$73.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
BofATRIM-60.4%$151.3M-$54.4M
RenTechEXIT-100%$2.7M-$2.7M

Key Facts

  • Fidelity established a $262.1M position in AA, more than doubling its holdings with a $254.2M net increase.
  • Norges Bank and Duquesne Fund initiated new positions worth $67.6M and $73K respectively.
  • BofA reduced its stake by 60.4%, selling $54.4M, while RenTech fully exited its $2.7M position.
  • Total institutional buying: $330.1M; total selling: $57.1M — net positive flow of $273M.
  • The cluster includes sovereign, mega-passive, quant, and family office investors, indicating broad-based conviction.

Financial Impact

Five institutions accumulated $330.1M in new positions while two reduced holdings by $57.1M, resulting in a net institutional inflow of $273M.

market_sentimentinstitutional_ownershipfloat_demand

Risk Factors

  • BofA and RenTech exiting or trimming raises questions about risk perception or portfolio rebalancing away from materials.
  • Mega-passive involvement (Fidelity, Wells Fargo) may reflect index flows rather than active conviction, though the scale of Fidelity's move suggests strategic intent.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-AA-2025-Q4
19 reports for AA
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate 5 of 7 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +18.93%Jul 17, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$48.26 $44.43▼ −7.94%▼ −7.72%—
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$48.26 $44.43▼ −7.94%▼ −7.72%—
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
425 / 8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$50.73 $46.26▼ −8.81%▼ −8.15%—
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$50.73 $46.26▼ −8.81%▼ −8.15%—
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$50.73 $46.26▼ −8.81%▼ −8.15%—
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
S-4
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$50.89 $50.73▼ −0.31%▼ −0.39%—
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$50.89 $50.73▼ −0.31%▼ −0.39%—
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$42.88 $47.60▼ −11.00%▼ −5.47%—
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$43.48 $44.24▲ +1.75%▲ +2.17%—
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$47.48 $49.01▲ +3.22%▲ +2.96%—
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (39h 29m)

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Report published Feb 28, 2026