AMSF

AMERISAFE INC

Nasdaq· Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance· Inc. TX· CIK 0001018979 Traditional Finance

$25.46 −0.77 (−2.94%)

Oct 27 4:00 PM ET · prev $26.23

Market cap

$487.7M

Small cap

Consensus

Buy

60% Buy or better · 10 analysts

Median target

$33.00

+30% · range $27.00–40.00

1 year

−37.3%

from $40.60 · Oct 28

30 days

+7.2%

from $23.76

52-week range

$23.28–41.57

−39% from high · low Oct 5

Avg volume 20D

389.2K

shares / day

Short interest

583.3K

≈3.1% of shares · +20.4%

Days to cover

1.4

at average volume

Insider net

no open-market trades · 12 mo

New fund stakes

Q2 2026 13F · 0 exits

Filing reports

analyzed by SecBot

SecBot read MIXED 4 reports · 90 days

Balance 0 bearish · 1 bullish · 3 neutral oldest → newest, height = score

Avg score

·High conf. 2/4

Strongest NEUTRAL Millennium Management LLC disclosed a 5.1% passive stake in AMERISAFE Inc. via a Schedule 13G filed…

All reports →

Price

Daily candles with volume. Pins mark insider trades, rating changes, 13F stakes, reports, catalysts and short-interest jumps.

R Feb 25 AMERISAFE reported full-year 2025 net income of $47.1 million, down…
R Apr 22 AMERISAFE reported Q1 2026 earnings with diluted EPS of $0.43, missi…
X Aug 31 Short interest jumps 32.7% to 909.6K
X Sep 30 Short interest falls 56.7% to 484.6K

Signal stack

Where each data set points today.

InsidersNO TRADES

No open-market buys or sells in 12 months. Recent filings are awards, exercises and tax withholding.
InstitutionsMIXED

Q2 2026: 23 added (0 new), 16 trimmed or exited.
AnalystsBULLISH

6 of 10 rate it Buy or better. Every target is above the price.
EstimatesFALLING

Current-quarter EPS estimate $0.533 → $0.473 over 90 days. 0 up, 3 down in 30 days.
Short sellersBUILDING

Short interest +20.4% to 583.3K shares. 1.4 days to cover, ≈3.1% of shares.
TrendUPTREND

2% above its 50-day average.

Who's buying

13F· Q2 2026

new positions

exits

Fund	Move	Shares	Value
Neuberger Berman Group LLC	TRIM	1,278,305	$43.2M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC	ADD	376,251	$12.7M
MORGAN STANLEY	ADD	316,534	$10.7M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP	ADD	229,360	$7.8M
Creative Planning	DOUBLED	180,616	$6.1M
Qube Research & Technologies Ltd	TRIM	176,126	$6.0M
Nuveen, LLC	DOUBLED	103,812	$3.5M
Trexquant Investment LP	ADD	83,395	$2.8M

Quarterly 13F filings are due 45 days after each quarter ends.

The Street

10 analysts

Buy 60% rate it Buy or better

Strong Buy2Buy4Hold4Sell0Strong Sell0

12-month targets · 3 analysts

$25.46 $27.00 $33.00 $40.00

Price is below the lowest target. Median implies +30%.Targets as of Oct 28, 2026.

Recent actions

Date	Firm	Action	Rating
Oct 13, 2026	Truist Securities MAINTAIN	MAINTAIN	Hold
Oct 12, 2026	Citizens MAINTAIN	MAINTAIN	Market Outperform
Jul 23, 2026	Truist Securities MAINTAIN	MAINTAIN	Hold

Insider ledger

Form 4

open-market buys or sells · 12 mo

Date	Insider	Type	Value
Aug 1, 2026	Wise Raymond F. Jr. EVP - CSO	EXERCISE	4,257 sh
Aug 1, 2026	Wise Raymond F. Jr. EVP - CSO	TAX W/H	$53.6K
Jun 10, 2026	BROWN MICHAEL J Director	AWARD	2,340 sh
Jun 10, 2026	MORRIS JARED A Director	AWARD	2,340 sh
Jun 10, 2026	Roach Randy Director	AWARD	2,340 sh
Jun 10, 2026	Fontenot Teri G. Director	AWARD	2,340 sh
Jun 10, 2026	GARCIA PHILIP A Director	AWARD	2,340 sh
Jun 10, 2026	Greer Billy B Director	AWARD	2,340 sh

Earnings setup

Estimates

$0.47

EPS estimate, this quarter

−11%

estimate change, 90 days

0↑ 3↓

revisions, 30 days

Current-quarter EPS estimate

$0.533

90d

$0.487

60d

$0.487

30d

$0.487

$0.473

Now

Period	EPS est.	Range	30D rev.	Revenue
Current Q	$0.47	$0.42–$0.53	-2.7%	$84.2M
Next Q	🔒 Fresh data, subscribers only
Current FY	$1.93	$1.89–$2.00	-1.0%	$341.7M
Next FY	🔒 Fresh data, subscribers only