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Institutional Cluster

AMSF

AMERISAFE INC
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 9 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The unanimous institutional buying, particularly the large adds from Morgan Stanley and Nuveen, signals growing conviction in AMSF's value proposition. However, the 45-day 13F reporting lag means these positions may have been adjusted since quarter-end. Monitor for any insider buying or earnings catalysts that could confirm the thesis. The absence of insider buying is a cautionary note.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
AMSF ▼ -6.10% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -6.10% · α vs SPY -4.12% · entry $26.41 → $24.80
Next anchor: T+60d in 14d
Latest observation: T+48 +11.80% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.45%
call +0.45% · α +1.13%
$26.53
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+0.02%
call +0.02% · α +1.21%
$26.42
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-6.10%
call -6.10% · α -4.12%
$24.80
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 14d

Executive Summary

A bullish institutional cluster formed in AMSF during 2026-Q2, with 9 buyers accumulating $8.4M in net new positions and zero sellers. The buying is broad-based across asset managers and mega-passive funds, led by Morgan Stanley ($4.8M add), Nuveen ($2.0M add), and Fidelity ($418K add), with several funds doubling their stakes. The absence of insider buying alongside this institutional accumulation weakens the conviction signal slightly, but the unanimous buying direction and active-manager participation suggest a shared thesis around AMSF's value or sector positioning in specialty insurance.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$18.3M
Sell Value
$0.00
Net Flow
$8.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $8.4M

▲ Buyers (9)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyADD+78.7%$10.7M$4.8M
NuveenDOUBLED+129.8%$3.5M$2.0M
FidelityADD+25.1%$2.0M$418.0K
Wealth Enhancement Advisory ServicesADD+66.6%$753.0K$321.0K
Commonwealth Equity ServicesDOUBLED+166.4%$648.0K$409.0K

Key Facts

  • 9 institutional buyers, 0 sellers in 2026-Q2
  • Net institutional buying of $8.4M (aggregate current holdings $18.3M)
  • Morgan Stanley added $4.8M (+78.7% shares), Nuveen added $2.0M (+129.8%)
  • Fidelity added $418K (+25.1%), Optiver doubled a small position
  • No insider open-market buying in the window (confluence score 33/100, institutions-only)

Financial Impact

9 institutions accumulated $8.4M in net new positions, with aggregate current holdings of $18.3M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound
  • No insider buying to corroborate the institutional signal
  • Small market cap ($513M) increases volatility and liquidity risk

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
60% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-AMSF-2026-Q2
6 reports for AMSF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AMSF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.28 $23.60▲ +1.37%▲ +0.82%—
Sep 30, 2026
25d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.68 $23.59▼ −0.38%▼ −1.12%—
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$26.41 $26.53▲ +0.45%▲ +1.13%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$31.80 $31.53▼ −0.85%▼ −1.39%—
Apr 22, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$29.96 $31.09▼ −3.77%▼ −4.17%—
Feb 25, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$33.63 $32.53▲ +3.27%▲ +2.79%—
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 52m)

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Report published Aug 15, 2026