ANALYST-DOWNGRADE

ZS

Zscaler, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Processed4mo ago SECanalyst-ZS-evercore-20260527
Evercore ISI Group cut PT 31%: $225 → $155
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Evercore's lowest-on-street target and downgrade on earnings day amplify bearish sentiment, but the rapid upward EPS revisions and elevated short ratio create asymmetric risk. Traders should watch for an earnings beat — if ZS guides above expectations, the 68.5% short ratio could fuel a violent squeeze.

DirectionBearish
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ZS ▲ +37.90% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -37.90% · α vs SPY -36.28% · entry $126.17 → $173.99
Entry anchored
May 27, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+3.03%
call -3.03% · α -2.48%
$129.99
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+6.43%
call -6.43% · α -5.96%
$134.28
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+0.87%
call -0.87% · α -3.16%
$127.27
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+37.90%
call -37.90% · α -36.28%
$173.99
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Evercore ISI Group cut Zscaler (ZS) to In-Line from Outperform and slashed its price target 31% from $225 to $155, the lowest on the street, on the same day as the company's earnings release. The firm has a 59% accuracy rate on 2,664 total calls, a middling track record. The broader consensus remains overwhelmingly bullish — 81% of 58 analysts rate ZS a Buy (15 Strong Buy, 32 Buy, 11 Hold). The new $155 target sits 30.6% below the $223.61 mean and implies 16% downside from the current $184.60. Despite this bearish call, near-term EPS revisions have surged: 40 upward revisions for the current quarter versus zero downward in the last 30 days. Insider sales in March and a 68.5% short ratio align with the bearish view, but institutional activity is mixed (large trims by Two Sigma and BofA alongside fresh buys from Norges Bank and Morgan Stanley). The convergence of a low-ball target, high short interest, and rising estimates on earnings day creates a high-conviction setup for a potential short squeeze.

Impact Score

Base Score
3/7
LLM Adjustment
+2
Final Score
5/10

Consensus & Targets

Buy / Strong Buy
47 (81%)
Hold
11
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
45
Mean PT
$223.61
Median PT
$210.00
High PT
$330.00
Low PT
$155.00
Current Price
$184.60
Implied Upside
+21.1%

Out of 58 analysts covering ZS, 15 rate it Strong Buy, 32 Buy, 11 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell. That translates to 81% Buy calls, reflecting a heavily bullish consensus despite recent downgrades.

Current price is $184.60. The mean price target is $223.61, median $210, high $330, and low $155 (Evercore's new PT). Implied upside to the mean is 21.1%. Evercore's PT sits at the extreme low end, 30.6% below the mean, making it the most bearish analyst on the street.

Recent Analyst Activity

DateFirmActionRatingPrice Target
2026-05-27Evercore ISI GroupdowngradeIn-Line$155.00
2026-05-21Wells FargomaintainOverweight$210.00
2026-05-21RosenblattmaintainBuy$223.00
2026-05-18B. Riley SecuritiesupgradeBuy$225.00
2026-05-18RosenblattmaintainBuy$223.00
2026-05-18KeybancmaintainOverweight$190.00
2026-05-01CitizensmaintainMarket Outperform$210.00
2026-04-22Morgan StanleydowngradeEqual-Weight$155.00
2026-04-15KeybancmaintainOverweight$160.00
2026-04-09BTIGdowngradeNeutral—

In the last 30 days, analyst activity includes 1 upgrade (B. Riley from Neutral to Buy, PT $225 on May 18) and 1 downgrade (Evercore today). EPS revisions for the current quarter show 40 upward and 0 downward revisions in the last 30 days — a strong positive trend. For the next fiscal year, revisions are roughly flat (2 up, 2 down).

Firm Track Record — Evercore ISI Group

Evercore ISI Group accuracy: 59% on 2664 calls | avg return: 4.6%

Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.

FirmAccuracyCallsAvg Returnvs Average
Stephens & Co.100%3/319.8%top tier
Truist Securities100%2/21.9%top tier
Loop Capital80%4/510.8%top tier
Barclays73%8/114.2%top tier
Baird71%5/78.8%top tier
Stifel71%5/71%top tier
Bernstein67%2/3-18.5%top tier
Mizuho64%7/11-2%top tier
BMO Capital63%5/812.1%top tier
Wedbush60%3/55%above average

Evercore ISI Group has a 59% accuracy rate on 2,664 scored calls with an average return of 4.6%. Among firms covering ZS, top-tier performers include Stephens & Co. (100% on 3 calls, avg return +19.8%), Truist Securities (100% on 2 calls, +1.9%), and Loop Capital (80% on 5 calls, +10.8%). Evercore's accuracy is near the median and below these top performers.

Earnings Estimates

Next earnings: May 27, 2026

PeriodEPS Est.EPS RangeRevenueRevisions (7d)
0y$4.02$3.80 — $4.47$3.3B↑0 ↓0
0q$1.01$0.94 — $1.07$835.7M↑0 ↓0
+1y$4.58$3.81 — $5.23$4.0B↑0 ↓0
+1q$1.03$1.01 — $1.16$878.7M↑0 ↓0

Cross-Platform Signals

Insider Trades (90d)
0 buys / 5 sells
Institutional
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP — trim (-63.9%)
Institutional
NORGES BANK — new
Institutional
MORGAN STANLEY — add (25.4%)
Short Interest
Short: 1,933,747 | Exempt: 1,800 | TRF Vol: 2,821,455 | Short Ratio: 68.5% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)

Insider trades: In March 2026, multiple C-suite insiders sold shares, including EVP Rich Michael ($493K) and CFO Geller ($321K). While these are sales, they occurred two months prior and are not cluster trades. Short interest is elevated at 68.5% of volume, indicating heavy short positioning. Institutional activity is mixed: Two Sigma trimmed 63.9%, BofA trimmed 52.9%, UBS trimmed 49.8%, but Morgan Stanley added 25.4% and Norges Bank opened a new $79.8M position. No congressional trades. The bearish analyst call and high short interest converge, but the strong upward EPS revisions diverge, creating a tension that could resolve on earnings.

Investment Themes

Cloud & SaaSCybersecurity

Documents Analyzed

Report based on filing metadata.

22 reports for ZS
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +8.22%Jun 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ZS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$162.60 $177.80▲ +9.35%▲ +8.75%$200.21 (+23.13%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$151.63 $168.42▲ +11.07%▲ +7.69%$200.21 (+32.04%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$132.26 $139.70▲ +5.63%▲ +4.36%$200.21 (+51.38%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$124.85 $146.43▲ +17.28%▲ +16.75%$200.21 (+60.36%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$124.85 $146.43▲ +17.28%▲ +16.75%$200.21 (+60.36%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$124.85 $146.43▲ +17.28%▲ +16.75%$200.21 (+60.36%)
Jun 17, 2026
15w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$124.85 $146.43▲ +17.28%▲ +16.75%$200.21 (+60.36%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$124.38 $146.43▲ +17.73%▲ +16.41%$200.21 (+60.97%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$124.38 $146.43▲ +17.73%▲ +16.41%$200.21 (+60.97%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$124.38 $146.43▲ +17.73%▲ +16.41%$200.21 (+60.97%)
Showing 10 of 22

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Report published May 27, 2026