SecBot SecBot
EFFECT ·Filed Jun 5, 2026

ZBAO

Zhibao Technology Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001880
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The registration is now effective, so 3i can begin converting notes and selling shares into the market at any time. Expect persistent downward pressure on ZBAO as 3i unwinds its position. Watch for a Form 424B4 or 424B5 prospectus supplement announcing the start of sales. Avoid going long until the overhang is substantially reduced or absorbed.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ZBAO ▼ -74.55% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +74.55% · α vs SPY +78.55% · entry $0.6668 → $0.1697
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.35%
call -1.35% · α -1.12%
$0.6758
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-6.12%
call +6.12% · α +6.69%
$0.6260
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-36.86%
call +36.86% · α +38.72%
$0.4210
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-74.55%
call +74.55% · α +78.55%
$0.1697
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective the F-1 registration statement (File No. 333-295272) for Zhibao Technology Inc. on June 4, 2026, covering the resale of up to 23,777,779 Class A ordinary shares by selling shareholder 3i, LP, issuable upon conversion of senior secured convertible promissory notes. While the company receives no proceeds from this resale shelf, the effectiveness removes the final regulatory barrier for 3i to convert and sell shares into the market, creating a massive potential dilution overhang of ~23.8M shares against a $23M market cap, representing a substantial portion of total shares outstanding at current prices.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: June 4, 2026 for Registration Statement No. 333-295272.
  • Covers resale of up to 23,777,779 Class A ordinary shares by selling shareholder 3i, LP.
  • Shares are issuable upon conversion of senior secured convertible promissory notes from an April 8, 2026 securities purchase agreement.
  • Company receives no proceeds from this offering.
  • Current market cap is ~$23M; last reported price was $0.84/share (as of April 20, 2026 per the F-1/A).
  • This is a continuous resale shelf (Rule 415), allowing 3i to sell at any time in the open market.

Financial Impact

Potential overhang of up to 23.8M shares, likely representing a very large portion of current float. Based on last price of $0.84/share, the nominal sale value could reach ~$20M, nearly the entire market cap.

dilutionshare pricefloat

Risk Factors

  • Massive share overhang relative to market cap — 3i can sell up to ~23.8M shares into a thin float.
  • Continuous resale shelf creates indefinite dilution risk with no financing benefit to the company.
  • PRC holding company structure and regulatory risks add to downside uncertainty.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001880
Document: 9999999995-26-001880-index.html9999999995-26-001880
Document: 9999999995-26-001880.txt9999999995-26-001880
11 reports for ZBAO
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +96.73%Jul 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ZBAO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.0586 $0.0190▲ +67.50%▲ +67.22%$0.3340 (−469.97%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$4.35 $4.45▲ +2.30%▲ +1.09%$0.3340 (−92.32%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1160 $0.0934▲ +19.48%▲ +20.08%$0.3340 (−187.93%)
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.1490 $0.1144▲ +23.22%▲ +23.00%$0.3340 (−124.16%)
Aug 31, 2026
8w ago
F-1
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.1697 $0.1557▲ +8.25%▲ +8.11%$0.3340 (−96.82%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.2001 $0.1881▲ +6.00%▲ +9.51%$0.3340 (−66.92%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2620 $0.1590▼ −39.31%▼ −36.91%$0.3340 (+27.48%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2538 $0.2522▲ +0.63%▼ −1.04%$0.3340 (−31.60%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.4210 $0.2895▼ −31.24%▼ −30.95%$0.3340 (−20.67%)
Jun 5, 2026
20w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.6668 $0.6260▲ +6.12%▲ +6.69%$0.3340 (+49.91%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (17h 19m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Jun 5, 2026