8-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

WSO

WATSCO INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-322168
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The earnings miss and margin compression are the primary drivers — the 180 bps gross margin decline and 12% operating income drop signal that the A2L transition tailwinds have fully reversed. Monitor the Q3 earnings call for commentary on whether gross margins stabilize at current levels (~27.5%) or face further pressure from OEM pricing normalization. The Jackson Supply acquisition adds ~$230M in revenue but will take time to integrate.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
WSO ▼ -2.12% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.12% · α vs SPY +7.14% · entry $320.02 → $313.22
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 -14.29% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.90%
call +2.90% · α +4.58%
$310.73
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+4.09%
call -4.09% · α +1.44%
$333.12
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-2.12%
call +2.12% · α +7.14%
$313.22
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Watsco's Q2 2026 earnings missed consensus estimates, with EPS of $4.00 falling 8.9% below the $4.39 consensus and revenue of $2.10B missing the $2.15B estimate. Operating income declined 12% YoY and gross margins compressed 180 bps to 27.5%, driven by the normalization of OEM pricing actions after outsized 2025 benefits. The company completed the Jackson Supply acquisition ($230M annual sales) and maintained a debt-free balance sheet with $464M cash, but the earnings miss and margin compression are the dominant signals for this filing.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$4.00
est $4.39 · -8.9%
Revenue
$2.1B
est $2.1B · -2.1% · +2.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Gross Margin
27.5%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 EPS of $4.00 missed consensus of $4.39 by 8.9%
  • Q2 2026 revenue of $2.10B missed consensus of $2.15B
  • Operating income decreased 12% YoY to $238M; operating margin fell from 13.2% to 11.3%
  • Gross profit margin compressed 180 bps YoY to 27.5% due to normalization of OEM pricing actions
  • Completed Jackson Supply acquisition with ~$230M annualized sales in June 2026
  • Debt-free balance sheet with $464M in cash and cash investments; annual dividend raised 10% to $13.20/share
  • E-commerce sales grew 13% in H1 2026, reaching 37% of total sales ($2.7B trailing 12 months)

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.39 (-8.9%) vs consensus; operating income down $33.5M (-12%) YoY; gross margin down 180 bps

epsrevenuegross marginoperating income

Risk Factors

  • Further gross margin compression if OEM pricing actions continue to normalize
  • Seasonal working capital buildup could pressure cash flow in H2
  • Integration risk from Jackson Supply acquisition
  • Potential for slower end-market demand if housing/construction activity weakens

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Wholesale-Hardware & Plumbing & Heating Equipment & Supplies
Analyst Consensus
9% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-322168
Document: wso-20260729.htm0001193125-26-322168
Document: 0001193125-26-322168-index-headers.html0001193125-26-322168
Document: 0001193125-26-322168-index.html0001193125-26-322168
Document: 0001193125-26-322168.txt0001193125-26-322168
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-322168
7 reports for WSO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for WSO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$320.02 $313.22▲ +2.12%▲ +7.14%$299.21 (+6.50%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$371.91 $313.06▼ −15.82%▼ −20.27%$299.21 (−19.55%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$361.67 $407.62▲ +12.70%▲ +14.52%$299.21 (−17.27%)
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$436.60 $378.85▼ −13.23%▼ −18.68%$299.21 (−31.47%)
Apr 10, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$408.87 $429.24▲ +4.98%▼ −3.55%$299.21 (−26.82%)
Apr 1, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$373.10 $428.51▲ +14.85%▲ +5.13%$299.21 (−19.81%)
Feb 28, 2026
30w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$408.84 $346.14▼ −15.34%▼ −7.40%$299.21 (−26.82%)
Showing 7 of 7

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